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. 2020 Apr 20;26(5):750–759. doi: 10.1038/s41591-020-0807-6

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© The Author(s) 2020

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Extended Data Fig. 3 — Modelling regions⁴⁶ were based on geographic and socio-demographic index (SDI) regions from the Global Burden of Disease⁴⁷, defined as: Andean South America, Central America and the Caribbean, Central sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), East Asia, Eastern SSA, Middle East, North Africa, Oceania, Southeast Asia, South Asia, South SSA, Central Asia, Tropical South America, and Western SSA. Regions in grey (Stage 3) were not included in our models due to high-middle and high SDI. Map was generated using ArcGIS Desktop 10.6.