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Simulation results for Italy, S. Korea and Brazil. (A,C,E) Number of infected people who were notified over days. (B,D,F) Number of deaths over the days. The solid lines indicate the expected value, shaded regions the ± standard deviation (SD) region, while the dots are the data from the literature [44]. Italy and S. Korea were fitted using the active case data, and Brazil the confirmed case data.
