Table A.2.

Characterization of the COVID-19 pandemic in terms of model parameters: b is the COVID-19 transmission rate; m death probability; r contact reduction; t_i start of intervention policy; Δ duration of intervention policy; τ₁ incubation period; τ₂ period from symptoms to death; τ₃ period from symptoms to recovery; e effect of border restrictions; θ fraction of notified cases; and N the population.

Name	Brazil		Italy		S. Korea
	Mean	SD	Mean	SD	Mean	SD
b	$2.50\times {10}^{-1}$	$1.62\times {10}^{-2}$	$3.17\times {10}^{-1}$	$8.72\times {10}^{-3}$	$2.79\times {10}^{-1}$	$5.20\times {10}^{-3}$
m	$1.30\times {10}^{-2}$	$1.69\times {10}^{-3}$	$3.12\times {10}^{-2}$	$1.69\times {10}^{-3}$	$1.80\times {10}^{-2}$	$1.37\times {10}^{-3}$
r	$5.94\times {10}^{-1}$	$1.08\times {10}^{-1}$	$2.27\times {10}^{-1}$	$1.20\times {10}^{-2}$	$8.62\times {10}^{-2}$	$9.36\times {10}^{-3}$
ti	1.76 × 101	5.80 × 100	4.43 × 100	1.62 × 100	1.72 × 101	1.15 × 100
Δ	2.05 × 101	5.68 × 100	2.86 × 101	1.19 × 100	2.33 × 101	$6.89\times {10}^{-1}$
τ1	3.32 × 100	1.21 × 100	3.88 × 100	$6.33\times {10}^{-1}$	5.34 × 100	1.25 × 100
τ2	1.28 × 101	2.15 × 100	6.91 × 100	$9.76\times {10}^{-1}$	2.00 × 101	1.25 × 100
τ3	1.44 × 101	2.25 × 100	1.38 × 101	$9.37\times {10}^{-1}$	1.15 × 101	1.22 × 100
e	$7.73\times {10}^{-5}$	$4.47\times {10}^{-5}$	$9.32\times {10}^{-4}$	$7.06\times {10}^{-5}$	$9.84\times {10}^{-7}$	$4.36\times {10}^{-7}$
θ	$1.32\times {10}^{-1}$	$2.24\times {10}^{-2}$	$2.90\times {10}^{-1}$	$2.83\times {10}^{-2}$	$9.56\times {10}^{-1}$	$2.33\times {10}^{-2}$
N	2.09 × 108	–	6.05 × 107	–	5.15 × 107	–