Skip to main content
. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 May 14.
Published in final edited form as: Epilepsia. 2020 Feb 27;61(3):465–478. doi: 10.1111/epi.16452

TABLE 2.

Predictors of recurrence: univariate

Variable n Events, n (%) 1-y survival, % (95% CI) 2-y survival, % (95% CI) Cox univariate hazard ratio (95% CI) Cox univariate Wald P Cox univariate overall P
Previous surgery
 0 788 406 (52%) 67.3 (64.0–70.7) 58.2 (54.6–61.8) 1.00 (REF) 001a
 1 92 59 (64%) 52.1 (41.6–62.6) 49.4 (38.8–60.0) 1.52 (1.16–2.00) .003
 2+ 18 12 (67%) 54.3 (30.7–77.9) 38.8 (14.0–63.6) 1.90 (1.07–3.38) .028
IS
 No IS 62 36 (58%) 56.4 (43.7–69.0) 50.2 (37.2–63.3) 1.00 (REF) .13
 Previous IS 48 35 (73%) 47.5 (32.9–62.1) 44.7 (30.0–59.5) 1.44 (0.90–2.29) .093
Gender
 M 450 254 (56%) 62.9 (58.4–67.4) 52.8 (48.0–57.6) 1.00 (REF) <.001 .044a
 F 448 223 (50%) 68.3 (63.9–72.7) 61.1 (56.4–65.8) 0.831 (0.693–0.995)
Abnormal initial MRI
 No 122 75 (61%) 62.9 (54.2–71.6) 48.3 (39.0–57.7) 1.00 (REF) .044 .023a
 Yes 773 400 (52%) 66.0 (62.6–69.4) 58.2 (54.6–61.8) 0.75 (0.59–0.96)
GTC
 No 273 130 (48%) 69.4 (63.9–75.0) 61.3 (55.3–67.4) 1.00 (REF) .023 .030a
 Yes 620 344 (55%) 63.7 (59.9–67.6) 54.8 (50.7–58.9) 1.25 (1.02–1.53)
Index surgery pathology .030
 MCD 246 131 (53%) 65.9 (59.9–71.9) 53.1 (46.5–59.8) 1.00 (REF) .042a
 MTS 262 139 (53%) 69.3 (63.7–74.9) 62.9 (57.0–68.9) 0.81 (0.64–1.03)
 Gliosis 220 126 (57%) 60.9 (54.3–67.4) 52.0 (45.0–58.9) 1.10 (0.86–1.41) .093
 Other lesion 167 79 (47%) 66.2 (58.9–73.4) 59.6 (51.8–67.3) 0.81 (0.61–1.08) .43
Proximity to Eloq cortex
 No 606 309 (51%) 58.8 (54.7–62.8) 1.00 (REF) .16
 Yes 292 168 (58%) 53.0 (47.0–59.0) 1.15 (0.95–1.38) .16
First surgery in OSH
 No 86 58 (67%) 48.7 (37.8–59.7) 1.00 (REF) .56
 Yes 24 13 (54%) 46.4 (25.3–67.4) 1.20 (0.65–2.22) .56
Index surgery year 898 477 (53%) 56.9 (53.6–60.3) 1.038 (1.014–1.062) .002 .002a
Continuous measures .15
 Onset age, per decade 896 476 (53%) 1.03 (0.97–1.11)
 Surgery age, per decade 898 477 (53%) 1.01 (0.96–1.07) .35 .35
 Epilepsy duration, per decade 894 476 (53%) 0.98 (0.92–1.05) .62 .62
 Preop seizure frequency, per 30 d 892 475 (53%) 1.01 (1.00, 1.02) .64 .64
.016 .016a

Abbreviations: IS, invasive surgery; Eloq, eloquent; CI, confidence interval; REF, reference; M, male; F, female; MRI, magnetic resonance imaging; GTC, generalized tonic-clonic seizures; MCD, malformation of cortical development; MTS, mesiotemporal sclerosis; OSH, outside hospital.

a

Statistically significant.