Table 3.
Multivariate logistic regression analysis results of the participants’ motivations to carry out earthquake drills on 19 September yearly.
VariableValues | Model 1 |
Model 2 |
Model 3 |
|||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B | S.E. | OR [95% CI] | B | S.E. | OR [95% CI] | B | S.E. | OR [95% CI] | ||
Demographics: | ||||||||||
Sex | Men Women (base) |
.119 | .089 | 1.126 [1.015–1.242] | ||||||
Age | 13–49 50-65 (base) |
.300* | .142 | 1.349 [1.015–1.242] | .334* | .139 | 1.396 [1.063–1.834] | .312* | .139 | 1.366 [1.039–1.795] |
Occupation | Employees Students (base) |
.255** | .094 | 1.290 [1.074–1.551] | .236** | .092 | 1.266 [1.057–1.515] | 1.217** | .429 | 3.378 [1.457–7.830] |
Drills | ||||||||||
Drill participation | Yes No (base) |
.247 | .167 | 1.280 [.922–1.776] | ||||||
Frequency of drills | 0/year | .255 | .223 | 1.291 [.833–2.000] | .262 | .219 | 1.299 [.847–1.994] | .248 | .219 | 1.281 [.834–1.968] |
1/year | .747*** | .143 | 2.111 [1.593–2.795] | .760*** | .142 | 2.138 [1.619–2.824] | .775*** | .142 | 2.128 [1.610–2.812] | |
2/year | .053 | .174 | 1.054 [.750–1.482] | .048 | .171 | 1.049 [.750–1.468] | .047 | .171 | 1.048 [.749–1.467] | |
3/year | .648* | .301 | 1.912 [1.061–3.447] | .568* | .290 | 1.756 [.999–3.117] | .577* | .291 | 1.708 [1.006–3.151] | |
4/year | -.387 | .227 | .679 [.436–1.059] | -.347 | .222 | .707 [.458–1.092] | -.347 | .222 | .707 [.458–1.092] | |
6/year | .014 | .104 | 1.014 [.827–1.245] | -.013 | .103 | 1.013 [.828–1.241] | .015 | .103 | 1.016 [.829–1.244] | |
12/year (base) | ||||||||||
The SASMEX | ||||||||||
Warning time | Time varies Other (base) |
.232* | .104 | 1.261 [1.029–1.545] | .240* | .102 | 1.272 [1.041–1.554] | .236* | .102 | 1.266 [1.036–1.548] |
Usefulness SASMEX | Yes No (base) |
-.253* | .125 | .776 [.607-.992] | -.248* | .123 | .781 [.613-.994] | -.244* | .124 | .783 [.615-.998] |
Earthquake knowledge | ||||||||||
Knowledge vs drills | Yes No (base) |
.323*** | .089 | 1.382 [1.209–1.709] | .340*** | .088 | 1.404 [1.181–1.670] | .332*** | .089 | 1.394 [1.172–1.658] |
Current knowledge | Continuous | -.038 | .022 | .963 [.922–1.005] | ||||||
Psychological reactions | ||||||||||
Fear 19 Sept. earthquake | Low High (base) |
.077 | .098 | 1.080 [.890–1.310] | ||||||
Perception seismic risk | ||||||||||
Perception vulnerability city | Continuous | .116* | .052 | 1.123 [1.015–1.242] | .103* | .051 | 1.108 [1.003–1.225] | .240** | .078 | 1.271 [1.091–1.480] |
Interaction Perception vulnerability city x Occupation | -.241* | .103 | .786 [.643-.961] | |||||||
Constant | −1.148*** | .347 | .317 | −1.052*** | .285 | .349 | −1.580*** | .365 | .206 |
* = p < .05; ** = p < .01; *** = p < .001.
Summary of the final model (Model 3): -2LL = 3118.214; χ2 = 83.885; df = 13; p < .001; Nagelkerke R2 = 0.047; Hosmer & Lemeshow test, p = .891.