Table II.
Variable | Evaluation set |
Validation set |
Combined cohort |
|||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
At presentation |
Maximal |
At presentation |
Maximal |
At presentation |
Maximal |
|||||||||||||
P value | AUC (CI) | Cutoff | P value | AUC (CI) | Cutoff | P value | AUC (CI) | Cutoff | P value | AUC (CI) | Cutoff | P value | AUC (CI) | Cutoff | P value | AUC (CI) | Cutoff | |
IL-6 level (pg/mL) | .000012 | 0.94 (0.86-1.00) | 35 | 5.4 × 10–8 | 0.97 (0.93-1.00) | 80 | .000076 | 0.84 (0.73-0.95) | 48.9 | 4.9×10–7 | 0.90 (0.81-0.98) | 60 | 2.3 × 10–9 | 0.89 (0.81-0.96) | 48.9 | 2.6 × 10–11 | 0.93 (0.88-0.98) | 65 |
CRP level (mg/L) | .0031 | 0.79 (0.65-0.93) | 32.5 | .00027 | 0.86 (0.74-0.98) | 97 | .000032 | 0.86 (0.75-0.96) | 32.5 | .000097 | 0.83 (0.72-0.95) | 97 | 1.9 × 10–7 | 0.83 (0.75-0.92) | 32.5 | 7.0 × 10–8 | 0.85 (0.76-0.93) | 97 |
PCT level (ng/mL) | .0043 | 0.74 (0.58-0.90) | 0.05 | .0084 | 0.74 (0.57-0.91) | 0.25 | .000073 | 0.81 (0.69-0.93) | 0.05 | .00015 | 0.80 (0.67-0.93) | 0.25 | 8.7 × 10–7 | 0.78 (0.68-0.88) | 0.05 | 4.2 × 10–6 | 0.78 (0.67-0.88) | 0.25 |
LDH level (U/L) | .00062 | 0.83 (0.70-0.97) | 320 | .071 | 0.68 (0.50-0.86) | 590 | .00032 | 0.81 (0.67-0.95) | 410 | .0076 | 0.73 (0.60-0.89) | 440 | 1.4 × 10–6 | 0.81 (0.72-0.91) | 410 | .0015 | 0.70 (0.59-0.82) | 380.5 |
WBC level (G/L) | .0028 | 0.80 (0.66-0.93) | 4920 | .010 | 0.75 (0.58-0.93) | 9860 | .13 | 0.63 (0.45-0.81) | 6190 | .30 | 0.59 (0.41-0.77) | 10510 | .0024 | 0.69 (0.57-0.81) | 6190 | .015 | 0.66 (0.53-0.78) | 9860 |
Creatinine level (mg/dL) | .00051 | 0.84 (0.72-0.96) | 0.95 | .00028 | 0.85 (0.74-0.97) | 1.05 | .0023 | 0.76 (0.63-0.89) | 0.95 | .026 | 0.69 (0.54-0.84) | 1.05 | 5.2 × 10–6 | 0.79 (0.70-0.88) | 0.95 | .000070 | 0.75 (0.65-0.86) | 1.05 |
Troponin level (ng/mL) | .0053 | 0.72 (0.56-0.88) | 0.005 | .0079 | 0.72 (0.55-0.90) | 0.005 | .0078 | 0.72 (0.57-0.87) | 0.005 | .020 | 0.69 (0.54-0.85) | 0.005 | .00010 | 0.73 (0.62-0.83) | 0.005 | .00027 | 0.72 (0.61-0.83) | 0.005 |
Ferritin level (ng/mL) | .064 | 0.72 (0.52-0.91) | 766 | .12 | 0.68 (0.47-0.89) | 530 | .0026 | 0.76 (0.62-0.90) | 1285 | .010 | 0.72 (0.58-0.87) | 1510 | .00023 | 0.75 (0.64-0.86) | 1285 | .0024 | 0.71 (0.59-0.83) | 1610 |
LDH, Lactate dehydrogenase; PCT, procalcitonin; WBC, white blood cell count.