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. 2020 May 18;146(1):128–136.e4. doi: 10.1016/j.jaci.2020.05.008

Table II.

P values, AUC values, and optimal cutoffs in the evaluation, validation, and combined cohorts

Variable Evaluation set
Validation set
Combined cohort
At presentation
Maximal
At presentation
Maximal
At presentation
Maximal
P value AUC (CI) Cutoff P value AUC (CI) Cutoff P value AUC (CI) Cutoff P value AUC (CI) Cutoff P value AUC (CI) Cutoff P value AUC (CI) Cutoff
IL-6 level (pg/mL) .000012 0.94 (0.86-1.00) 35 5.4 × 10–8 0.97 (0.93-1.00) 80 .000076 0.84 (0.73-0.95) 48.9 4.9×10–7 0.90 (0.81-0.98) 60 2.3 × 10–9 0.89 (0.81-0.96) 48.9 2.6 × 10–11 0.93 (0.88-0.98) 65
CRP level (mg/L) .0031 0.79 (0.65-0.93) 32.5 .00027 0.86 (0.74-0.98) 97 .000032 0.86 (0.75-0.96) 32.5 .000097 0.83 (0.72-0.95) 97 1.9 × 10–7 0.83 (0.75-0.92) 32.5 7.0 × 10–8 0.85 (0.76-0.93) 97
PCT level (ng/mL) .0043 0.74 (0.58-0.90) 0.05 .0084 0.74 (0.57-0.91) 0.25 .000073 0.81 (0.69-0.93) 0.05 .00015 0.80 (0.67-0.93) 0.25 8.7 × 10–7 0.78 (0.68-0.88) 0.05 4.2 × 10–6 0.78 (0.67-0.88) 0.25
LDH level (U/L) .00062 0.83 (0.70-0.97) 320 .071 0.68 (0.50-0.86) 590 .00032 0.81 (0.67-0.95) 410 .0076 0.73 (0.60-0.89) 440 1.4 × 10–6 0.81 (0.72-0.91) 410 .0015 0.70 (0.59-0.82) 380.5
WBC level (G/L) .0028 0.80 (0.66-0.93) 4920 .010 0.75 (0.58-0.93) 9860 .13 0.63 (0.45-0.81) 6190 .30 0.59 (0.41-0.77) 10510 .0024 0.69 (0.57-0.81) 6190 .015 0.66 (0.53-0.78) 9860
Creatinine level (mg/dL) .00051 0.84 (0.72-0.96) 0.95 .00028 0.85 (0.74-0.97) 1.05 .0023 0.76 (0.63-0.89) 0.95 .026 0.69 (0.54-0.84) 1.05 5.2 × 10–6 0.79 (0.70-0.88) 0.95 .000070 0.75 (0.65-0.86) 1.05
Troponin level (ng/mL) .0053 0.72 (0.56-0.88) 0.005 .0079 0.72 (0.55-0.90) 0.005 .0078 0.72 (0.57-0.87) 0.005 .020 0.69 (0.54-0.85) 0.005 .00010 0.73 (0.62-0.83) 0.005 .00027 0.72 (0.61-0.83) 0.005
Ferritin level (ng/mL) .064 0.72 (0.52-0.91) 766 .12 0.68 (0.47-0.89) 530 .0026 0.76 (0.62-0.90) 1285 .010 0.72 (0.58-0.87) 1510 .00023 0.75 (0.64-0.86) 1285 .0024 0.71 (0.59-0.83) 1610

LDH, Lactate dehydrogenase; PCT, procalcitonin; WBC, white blood cell count.