Table 2. Priors on the model parameters for the SIR model with stationary spreading rate.

Parameter	Variable	Prior distribution
Spreading rate	$\lambda$	$\text{LogNormal}\left(\text{log}\left(0.4\right),0.5\right)$
Recovery rate	$\mu$	$\text{LogNormal}\left(\text{log}\left(1/8\right),0.2\right)$
Reporting delay	$D$	$\text{LogNormal}\left(\text{log}\left(8\right),0.2\right)$
Initially infected	$I_0$	$\text{HalfCauchy}\left(100\right)$
Scale factor	$\sigma$	$\text{HalfCauchy}\left(10\right)$