Table 2.

Annual apparent survival estimates for individuals ringed as nestlings, for first year birds (juveniles), adult males and adult females as estimated by different models fitted to the full and reduced data.

Model and data	Nestlings	Juveniles	$\Phi 1$ Females	$\Phi 1$ Males	$\Phi 2+$ Females	$\Phi 2+$ Males
2b full	0.13 (0.05,0.29)	0.13 (0.06,0.26)	0.35 (0.16,0.69)	0.26 (0.16,0.42)	0.59 (0.34,0.86)	0.50 (0.36,0.68)
3b full	0.12 (0.04,0.34)	0.09 (0.04,0.19)	0.33 (0.14,0.86)	0.26 (0.16,0.40)	0.54 (0.34,0.86)	0.54 (0.40,0.71)
23b full	0.12 (0.04,0.34)	0.11 (0.04,0.26)	0.38 (0.17,0.77)	0.28 (0.16,0.55)	0.64 (0.36,0.91)	0.52 (0.36,0.75)
2b red	—	—	0.35 (0.16,0.64)	0.28 (0.17,0.47)	0.53 (0.31,0.81)	0.47 (0.31,0.68)
3b red	—	—	0.33 (0.16,0.77)	0.26 (0.17,0.39)	0.51 (0.30,0.83)	0.44 (0.29,0.62)
23b red	—	—	0.34 (0.14,0.69)	0.29 (0.17,0.52)	0.57 (0.32,0.88)	0.49 (0.31,0.72)

Model 2b includes for each age, sex and year a separate annual apparent survival. The average over all years is given. Models 3b and 23b linearly relate annual apparent survival to summer and winter temperature. The estimated apparent survival given for these models are calculated assuming average summer and average winter temperature. Compatibility intervals are given in parentheses.