Skip to main content
. 2020 May 21;15(5):e0227160. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0227160

Table 5. Model parameters for the best model using weather, land cover, mosquito infection, and demographic factors to predict the occurrence of WNV human cases in Chicago region.

Variable Parameter estimate F-value P-Value Odds ratio (95% CI)
Fixed effects
Year - 17.33 <0.001 -
Temperature of two weeks before 0.06963 22.36 <0.001 1.08 (1.049–1.112)
Temperature of three weeks before 0.1085 42.99 <0.001 1.128 (1.092–1.165)
Temperature of four weeks before 0.1628 116.47 <0.001 1.197 (1.162–1.234)
Average January temperature 0.3613 16.65 <0.001
Mosquito infection rate of one week before 0.003199 21.53 <0.001 1.003 (1.002–1.004)
Mosquito infection rate of two weeks before 0.003938 38.79 <0.001 1.004 (1.002–1.005)
Mosquito infection rate of three weeks before 0.004003 37.83 <0.001 1.004 (1.002–1.005)
Mosquito infection rate of four weeks before 0.003958 34.63 <0.001 1.004 (1.002–1.005)
Total population 0.000225 Infinity <0.001 1.009 (1.006–1.012)
Open water percentage -0.05527 9.58 0.002 0.954 (0.921–0.988)
Developed light intensity percentage 0.01848 80.65 <0.001 0.990 (0.985–0.994)
Deciduous forest percentage -0.02401 4.66 0.0309 0.985 (0.980–0.991)
Grassland percentage -0.04603 3.14 0.0763
Post 1990 built housing percentage -0.00546 4.28 0.0386
Random effect
Subject Estimate Standard error Z-value P-value
Hexagon ID 1.1769 0.1636 7.19 <0.0001