Table 4.

Predicted probability of the outcome of supernumerary embryos by patient-level score

Score	Probability supernumerary (%)	Binary decision cut-point for success	ROC area (%)	Sensitivity (%) 95% CI	Specificity (%) 95% CI
0	1	≥ 0	50	100	0
1	2	≥ 1	51	100 (99.9–100)	.94 (.81–1.1)
2	2	≥ 2	51	100 (99.9–100)	1.61 (1.43–1.81)
3	3	≥ 3	51	99.9 (99.9–100)	2.72 (2.49–2.97)
4	4	≥ 4	52	99.9 (99.8–99.9)	3.22 (2.97–3.49)
5	5	≥ 5	53	99.8 (99.7–99.9)	6.11 (5.76–6.47)
6	7	≥ 6	54	99.6 (99.5–99.7)	7.72 (7.34–8.12)
7	9	≥ 7	55	99.4 (99.3–99.5)	9.50 (9.08–9.94)
8	12	≥ 8	56	99.0 (98.9–99.2)	12.6 (12.1–13.1)
9	15	≥ 9	58	98.2 (98.0–98.4)	17.7 (17.1–18.2)
10	19	≥ 10	60	97.2 (96.9–97.4)	22.5 (21.9–23.1)
11	24	≥ 11	61	96.3 (96.0–96.5)	24.8 (24.2–25.5)
12	30	≥ 12	64	92.9 (92.5–93.3)	35.7 (35.0–36.5)
13	36	≥ 13	66	89.8 (89.3–90.2)	41.4 (40.6–42.1)
14	43	≥ 14	67	86.0 (85.5–86.5)	48.1 (47.3–48.8)
15	50	≥ 15	69	75.6 (74.9–76.2)	61.6 (60.9–62.3)
16	58	≥ 16	68	67.3 (66.5–68.0)	68.5 (67.8–69.2)
17	64	≥ 17	67	56.4 (55.6–57.1)	76.6 (76.0–77.2)
18	71	≥ 18	60	31.3 (30.6–32.0)	89.6 (89.1–90.0)
19	76	≥ 19	51	2.78 (2.54–3.05)	99.3 (99.2–99.4)
20	81	≥ 20	50	.79 (.66–.94)	99.8 (99.7–99.9)
21	85	≥ 21	50	.16 (.10–.23)	100 (99.9–100)
22	88	≥ 22	50	.05 (.02–.10)	100 (100–100)

*Score = summative points (Table 3) + 17 (automatically sets the minimum score to zero)