Fig. 3.

Fifty simulations of the stochastic SEIR model for a set of communes inside the city of Buenos Aires (CABA). The top panels display the simulations for the entire city, and for one of the 15 communes. The solutions of the continuous model are displayed, in both cases, with dashed lines. A detail of the simulation at early times is shown in the bottom panels, also for the whole city (left) and for one of the communes (right). The average of the simulations (thick dark lines) is shown together with the solution of a homogeneous deterministic model (dashed lines).