Table 5.
Fitting and prediction performance results for seasonal wind speed models.
Wind speed season | Predictors | AIC | Adj.R2 | MSE |
---|---|---|---|---|
FMA | t (Case 1) | 48 | 0.80 | 0.13 |
t; SST1_PC1 (Case 2) | 42 | 0.82 | 0.12 | |
t; GPH850.1-PC1 (Case 2) ** | 36 | 0.84 | 0.10 | |
t; SST1_PC1; GPH850.1_PC1 (Case 3) | 38 | 0.83 | 0.11 | |
MJJ | t (Case 1) ** | 36 | 0.78 | 0.10 |
ASO | t (Case 1) | 61 | 0.62 | 0.16 |
t; GPH850.1_PC1 (Case 2) | 50 | 0.68 | 0.13 | |
t; SST1_PC1 (Case 2) | 49 | 0.69 | 0.13 | |
t; SST1_PC1; GPH850.1_PC1 (Case 3) ** | 44 | 0.72 | 0.12 | |
NDJ | t (Case 1) | 49 | 0.80 | 0.13 |
t; SST2_PC1 (Case 2) | 40 | 0.83 | 0.11 | |
t; GPH850.1_PC1 (Case 2) | 38 | 0.84 | 0.11 | |
t; SST1_PC1 (Case 2) | 37 | 0.84 | 0.11 | |
t; GPH850.2_PC1 (Case 2) | 24 | 0.87 | 0.09 | |
t; SST1_PC1; GPH850.1_PC1 (Case 3) | 30 | 0.86 | 0.10 | |
t; SST1_PC1; GPH850.2_PC1 (Case 3) ** | 21 | 0.88 | 0.08 |
‘**’ indicates the best model for wind speed according to AIC and Adj.R2.