Table 2.
Total and incremental costs of the DCP3 model health benefits packages in LICs and lower-MICs
LICs* |
Lower-MICs* |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|
HPP | EUHC | HPP | EUHC | |
Incremental annual cost*, billions US$ | $27 (19–38) | $57 (41–80) | $120 (80–170) | $250 (170–350) |
Incremental annual cost per capita | $30 (21–42) | $64 (46–90) | $43 (30–62) | $92 (65–130) |
Total annual cost*, billions US$ | $36 (27–48) | $71 (54–95) | $180 (140–240) | $350 (270–470) |
Total annual cost per capita | $40 (30–54) | $79 (60–110) | $69 (52–92) | $130 (100–180) |
Incremental annual cost as a share of 2015 GNI per capita | 3·7% (2·6–5·3) | 8·0% (5·7–11·3) | 2·0% (1·4–2·8) | 4·2% (2·9–5·9) |
Total annual cost as a share of 2015 GNI per capita | 5·1% (3·8–6·8) | 10·0% (7·5–13·3) | 3·1% (2·3–4·1) | 6·0% (4·5–8·0) |
All costs are in 2016 US dollars rounded to two significant figures. In 2015, LICs had a population of 0·90 billion and a GNI of US$0·70 trillion, and lower-MICs had a population of 2·7 billion and a GNI of US$5·9 trillion. Across all LICs and lower-MICs, the incremental annual cost of EUHC would be US$310 billion (population-weighted mean $85 per capita), and the total annual cost of EUHC would be US$420 billion (population-weighted mean $120 per capita). Values in parenthesis represent the 95% credible intervals computed in the probabilistic sensitivity analysis. DCP3=Disease Control Priorities, 3rd edition. LIC=low-income country. Lower-MIC=lower-middle-income country. HPP=highest priority package. EUHC=essential universal health coverage. GNI=gross national income.
Incremental and total cost estimates reflect a target of 80% population coverage.