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. 2020 May 21;8(6):e829–e839. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30121-2

Table 2.

Total and incremental costs of the DCP3 model health benefits packages in LICs and lower-MICs

LICs*
Lower-MICs*
HPP EUHC HPP EUHC
Incremental annual cost*, billions US$ $27 (19–38) $57 (41–80) $120 (80–170) $250 (170–350)
Incremental annual cost per capita $30 (21–42) $64 (46–90) $43 (30–62) $92 (65–130)
Total annual cost*, billions US$ $36 (27–48) $71 (54–95) $180 (140–240) $350 (270–470)
Total annual cost per capita $40 (30–54) $79 (60–110) $69 (52–92) $130 (100–180)
Incremental annual cost as a share of 2015 GNI per capita 3·7% (2·6–5·3) 8·0% (5·7–11·3) 2·0% (1·4–2·8) 4·2% (2·9–5·9)
Total annual cost as a share of 2015 GNI per capita 5·1% (3·8–6·8) 10·0% (7·5–13·3) 3·1% (2·3–4·1) 6·0% (4·5–8·0)

All costs are in 2016 US dollars rounded to two significant figures. In 2015, LICs had a population of 0·90 billion and a GNI of US$0·70 trillion, and lower-MICs had a population of 2·7 billion and a GNI of US$5·9 trillion. Across all LICs and lower-MICs, the incremental annual cost of EUHC would be US$310 billion (population-weighted mean $85 per capita), and the total annual cost of EUHC would be US$420 billion (population-weighted mean $120 per capita). Values in parenthesis represent the 95% credible intervals computed in the probabilistic sensitivity analysis. DCP3=Disease Control Priorities, 3rd edition. LIC=low-income country. Lower-MIC=lower-middle-income country. HPP=highest priority package. EUHC=essential universal health coverage. GNI=gross national income.

*

Incremental and total cost estimates reflect a target of 80% population coverage.