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. 2020 May 21;8(6):e829–e839. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30121-2

Table 3.

Distribution of model package costs by health system objective

Total Mortality reduction*: age ≤5 years Mortality reduction*: age 5–69 years, communicable, maternal, perinatal, and nutritional conditions Mortality reduction*: age 5–69 years, non-communicable diseases and injuries Reduction*in disability Non-health outcomes
Highest priority package
Number of interventions 115 38 18 27 15 12
LICs
Total cost, % of GNI 5·1% 1·4% 0·8% 1·3% 1·0% 0·6%
Total cost, billions US$ per year $36 $10 $5·6 $9·0 $7·0 $4·5
Share of overall costs 100% 28·8% 15·4% 24·9% 19·3% 12·4%
Lower-MICs
Total cost, % of GNI 3·1% 0·7% 0·4% 1·0% 0·7% 0·2%
Total cost, billions US$ per year $180 $43 $21 $62 $44 $14
Share of overall costs 100% 23·6% 11·2% 33·6% 23·8% 7·8%
Essential universal health coverage package
Number of interventions 218 52 44 45 58 19
LICs
Total cost, % of GNI 10·0% 1·6% 1·6% 3·7% 2·2% 0·8%
Total cost, billions US$ per year $71 $12 $11 $27 $16 $5·6
Share of overall costs 100% 16·2% 16·1% 37·6% 22·3% 7·8%
Lower-MICs
Total cost, % of GNI 6·0% 0·9% 0·8% 2·6% 1·5% 0·3%
Total cost, billions US$ per year $350 $51 $44 $150 $89 $17
Share of overall costs 100% 14·4% 12·5% 43·0% 25·1% 4·9%

All costs are in 2016 US dollars rounded to two significant figures. The elements of the essential pathology package are included in total costs but do not fit into any one objective; therefore, the numbers in the total column are slightly higher than the sum of the five objectives. For presentational purposes, 95% credible intervals from the probabilistic sensitivity analysis are not shown but are provided in the appendix (p 14). LIC=low-income country. GNI=gross national income. MIC=middle-income country.

*

Any amount of reduction.

As listed in the panel.