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. 2020 Mar 4;368:m283. doi: 10.1136/bmj.m283

Table 2.

Multivariable Cox non-proportional hazard regression model estimates for death from overdose or suicide in patients with an outpatient prescription for an opioid in fiscal year 2013 at the Veterans Health Administration

Variables Parameter estimate Standard error Hazard ratio (95% CI)
Stopped treatment with opioids 1.91 0.06 —*
Stopped treatment with opioids×duration of last prescription for opioids (reference >400 days):
 ≤30 days −1.40 0.08 —*
 31-90 days −0.88 0.11 —*
 91-400 days −0.54 0.08 —*
Age (centered) −0.02 0.002 0.98 (0.98 to 0.98)
Female sex −0.57 0.08 0.56 (0.48 to 0.66)
Currently married −0.63 0.04 0.53 (0.49 to 0.58)
Rural residence −0.07 0.04 0.93 (0.86 to 1.01)
No of medical diagnoses 0.02 0.01 1.02 (1.01 to 1.04)
Substance use disorder (excluding nicotine) 0.91 0.05 2.48 (2.25 to 2.72)
Nicotine use disorder 0.03 0.04 1.03 (0.95 to 1.12)
Mental health disorder 0.43 0.04 1.54 (1.41 to 1.68)
Type of opioid treatment (reference tramadol only):
 Long acting 0.44 0.08 1.55 (1.33 to 1.82)
 Short acting 0.15 0.06 1.16 (1.04 to 1.30)
Log maximum daily morphine mg equivalents 0.35 0.03 1.42 (1.34 to 1.50)
*

Hazard ratios and associated 95% confidence intervals were not estimated for these variables as this was an interaction model. To better understand the interaction, the estimated hazard ratios for patients who stopped opioid treatment (with reference values for all other covariates) were 1.67 (≤30 days), 2.80 (31-90 days), 3.95 (91-400 days), and 6.77 (>400 days).