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. 2020 Mar 26;122(11):1707–1714. doi: 10.1038/s41416-020-0805-y

Table 3.

Consistency between authors’ conclusions on progression-free survival surrogacy and quantitative arguments in favour of surrogacy according to the type of study.

Authors’ conclusions on surrogacy R² ≥ 0.6 at trial level Other quantitative arguments in favour of surrogacy No quantitative arguments
Individual patient data meta-analysis
 Validation of surrogacy 8 (73%) 1 (9%) 2 (18%)
 Partial validation of surrogacy 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
 No validation of surrogacy 1 (14%) 1 (14%) 5 (71%)
Aggregated data meta-analysis
 Validation of surrogacy 16 (48%) 7 (21%) 10 (30%)
 Partial validation of surrogacy 3 (25%) 0 (0%) 9 (75%)
 No validation of surrogacy 2 (10%) 0 (0%) 18 (90%)
Single-trial analysis
 Validation of surrogacy NA 0 (0%) 3 (100%)
 Partial validation of surrogacy NA 0 (0%) 2 (100%)
 No validation of surrogacy NA 1 (33%) 2 (66%)