Table 6.
Model prediction results of the number of COVID-19 infection cases in Wuhan city.
| Radius used for Wuhan city (kilometer) | Using data of February 5, 2020 |
Using data of March 2, 2020 |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction results of Model (7) | Prediction results of Model (9) | Prediction results of Model (17) | Prediction results of Model (20) | |
| 25.300 | 3492.848 (868 to 14,054) |
13,766.347 (2784 to 68,070) |
5604.536 (1844 to 17,031) |
34,753.459 (7940 to 152,000) |
| 17.890 | 4705.333 (1145 to 19,334) |
21,059.862 (4200 to 106,000) |
7793.026 (2513 to 24,164) |
56,944.866 (12,800 to 253,000) |
| 12.650 | 6338.711 (1508 to 26,637) |
32,217.530 (6320 to 164,000) |
10,836.09 (3420 to 34,337) |
93,306.308 (20,600 to 422,000) |
Note: 95% confidence intervals in parentheses.