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. 2020 May 1;27(2):e86–e92. doi: 10.3747/co.27.5635

Impact of Recurrence Score on type and duration of chemotherapy in breast cancer

K Willemsma *, W Yip , N LeVasseur , K Dobosz §, C Illmann , S Baxter , C Lohrisch , CE Simmons ‡,
PMCID: PMC7253753  PMID: 32489257

Abstract

Background

The use of Oncotype dx (Genomic Health, Redwood City, CA, U.S.A.) testing has been shown to change treatment decisions in approximately 30% of breast cancer (bca) cases, but research on how Recurrence Score testing has affected the type of chemotherapy offered is limited. We sought to determine if the availability of Oncotype dx testing resulted in a change to the type and duration of chemotherapy regimens used in the treatment of early-stage hormone receptor–positive bca.

Methods

In a population-based cohort study, patients treated in the 2 years before the availability of Oncotype dx testing were compared with patients treated in the 2 years after testing availability. Charts were audited and divided into 2 groups: pre-Oncotype dx and post-Oncotype dx. The groups were compared for differences in duration of chemotherapy (12 weeks vs. >12 weeks), types of agents used (anthracycline vs. non-anthracycline), and myelosuppressive potential of the chosen regimen.

Results

Of 834 patients who fulfilled the enrolment criteria, 360 fell into the pre-Oncotype dx era, and 474, into the post-Oncotype dx era. An increase of 11.2 percentage points, to 69.5% from 58.3%, was observed in the proportion of patients receiving short-course compared with long-course chemotherapy (p = 0.068). The proportion of patients prescribed anthracycline-containing regimens declined in the post-Oncotype dx era (47.7% pre vs. 32.2% post, p = 0.016). The selection of more-myelosuppressive chemotherapy protocols increased in the post-Oncotype dx era (67.4% pre vs. 78.8% post, p = 0.044).

Conclusions

In the present study, the availability of Oncotype dx testing was observed to influence the choice of chemotherapy type in the setting of early-stage bca.

Keywords: Oncotype dx, Recurrence Score, early-stage breast cancer, chemotherapy choices, personalized medicine, adjuvant chemotherapy, anthracyclines, myelosuppression

INTRODUCTION

The 21-gene Recurrence Score assay, commonly known as Oncotype dx (Genomic Health, Redwood City, CA, U.S.A.) testing, has had a significant impact on the treatment of early-stage hormone receptor–positive breast cancer (bca) because it has been shown to quantify the risk of recurrence and to predict the benefit of adding chemotherapy to endocrine therapy when treating patients with hormone receptor–positive node-negative disease1,2. The assay is now recommended as a standard in bca clinical guidelines for such patients36. Several studies have since demonstrated that use of Oncotype dx testing has resulted in a change in treatment decision in 20%–45% of cases725. However, the changes reported were limited to whether chemotherapy was added or omitted; whether the type of chemotherapy recommended was affected by Oncotype dx testing was not captured.

Recently, the results of the tailorx trial were reported, demonstrating a 98.7% rate of freedom from recurrence in patients with bca and a low Recurrence Score (0–10) who received endocrine therapy alone26. Although women 50 years of age or younger with an intermediate Recurrence Score (16–25) received some benefit from chemotherapy, endocrine therapy alone was found to be noninferior to chemotherapy plus endocrine therapy with respect to survival outcomes overall2. Although the tailorx trial reported the percentage of patients who received docetaxel–cyclophosphamide (dc) and anthracycline-based chemotherapy regimens (56% and 36% respectively), no information was provided about how the chemotherapy type prescribed differed from the planned treatment for the patient before the Oncotype dx result was received2.

To date, few research studies have investigated the effect of Oncotype dx availability on the types and durations of chemotherapy regimens used for patients who have an intermediate-to-high Recurrence Score. Little is known about the adoption of shorter-course chemotherapy regimens or the omission of anthracycline-based regimens in the setting of Oncotype dx availability. Such changes in the type of chemotherapy have broader implications for resource allocation in terms of chair time and nursing time and costs. Patient health is also affected, because shorter and less-aggressive chemotherapy regimens are less burdensome for patients in the short term and, if anthracyclines are omitted, protect patients from cardiotoxicity in the long term.

Oncotype dx testing first became available in 2004 in the United States27. It became available in Canada as part of clinical studies in 200528. Despite being a standard in clinical guidelines since 2007, the Oncotype dx assay was not available in British Columbia for use outside of clinical trials until 201429. That unique situation allowed for an investigation, in a contemporary cohort, of the effect of Oncotype dx testing on the types of chemotherapy used.

The purpose of the present study was to determine if the availability of Oncotype dx testing resulted in changes to the types of chemotherapy regimens prescribed for patients with early-stage bca. The primary objective of the present study was to assess any difference in the proportion of patients who received a 12-week course of chemotherapy compared with a longer course of chemotherapy. The secondary objectives were to determine the proportion of patients who received a more myelosuppressive compared with a less myelosuppressive course of chemotherapy, an anthracycline-based regimen compared with a non-anthracycline-based regimen, and endocrine therapy plus chemotherapy compared with endocrine therapy only.

METHODS

Patient Selection

Our retrospective cohort study included patients with estrogen receptor–positive, her2 (human epidermal growth factor receptor)–negative bca treated at BC Cancer in the province of British Columbia. To assess the effect of the availability of Oncotype dx testing on the type of chemotherapy prescribed, a chart review of patients treated in the 2 years before and the 2 years after Oncotype dx availability was performed. Patients were divided into two groups: those who received treatment for bca before Oncotype dx availability in 2014 (pre-Oncotype dx cohort, January 2012 to December 2013), and those who received Oncotype dx testing and treatment for bca after Oncotype dx availability (post-Oncotype dx cohort, January 2014 to December 2015). The study received institutional ethics board approval through the University of British Columbia BC Cancer Research Ethics Board.

For the pre-Oncotype dx cohort, patients were identified using BC Cancer electronic health records in an audit of the charts of all patients with a new diagnosis of estrogen receptor–positive, her2-negative bca and a medical oncology consultation date between January 2012 and December 2013. Patients were included if they were 20–80 years of age, had undergone definitive surgery, and were eligible to receive adjuvant chemotherapy based on performance status. With respect to tumour characteristics, patients more than 40 years of age were included only if they had grade 2 or 3 tumours sized pT1b or greater and node-negative disease. Node-negative disease was defined as no node involvement (pN0) or isolated tumour cells only (pN0i+). Patients less than 40 years of age with node-negative disease were included in the study regardless of tumour grade and stage. Patients with a single micrometastatic deposit, defined as 0.3–2 mm in a single lymph node were also considered eligible for the study. The foregoing criteria were used in selecting the pre-Oncotype dx era cohort because they reflect the criteria adopted by BC Cancer for funding Oncotype dx testing in 2014. Patients who underwent Oncotype dx testing as part of a clinical trial and patients who paid privately for Oncotype dx testing before 2014 were excluded from the pre-Oncotype dx cohort.

Patients in the post-Oncotype dx era cohort were those who had a medical oncology consultation between January 2014 and December 2015 and who underwent Oncotype dx testing. Those patients were identified in the provincial funding database for Oncotype dx testing. The inclusion criteria for the post-Oncotype dx cohort were identical to those for the pre-Oncotype dx era, with the additional requirement of having undergone Oncotype dx testing through BC Cancer after 2014.

Endpoint Assessment

The charts of eligible patients were audited for demographic information, tumour characteristics, and cancer treatment details. Specifically, duration of the chemotherapy protocol, anthracycline use, and myelosuppressive potential of the regimen were recorded to determine the effect of the Oncotype dx result on the type of chemotherapy prescribed (supplemental Table 1). For the present study, a chemotherapy regimen with a greater than 20% chance of inducing febrile neutropenia without the use of growth factor support was defined as “more myelosuppressive.” In the post-Oncotype dx era, the proportions of patients who had a low, intermediate, and high Recurrence Score were documented. Patient comorbidity information was also collected to ensure that comorbidities were not confounding the chemotherapy type. Patient information was recorded in a secure password-protected database.

A priori, a “clinically meaningful change” was considered to be a 20% difference in the pattern of use from the pre-Oncotype dx era to the post-Oncotype dx era for the primary endpoint. To demonstrate such a change with a 95% confidence interval (ci) and 80% power, a minimum of 100 patients who received chemotherapy was needed in each cohort. Based on earlier studies, it was estimated that 30% of the patients who undergo Oncotype dx testing would be offered chemotherapy30. Given that proportion, a minimum sample size of 600 patients (300 patients each in the pre- and post-Oncotype dx eras), was required. Therefore, a minimum of 600 patients had to be included to have a sample size large enough for the intended 95% ci.

Patient charts for the pre-Oncotype dx cohort were reviewed in reverse chronological order beginning with Oncotype dx availability in 2014 and working backward in time until a cohort of 360 patients was identified. Patient charts for the post-Oncotype dx cohort were reviewed in chronological order from 2014 forward in time until sufficient chemotherapy cases were included to accurately compare that cohort with the pre-Oncotype dx cohort.

RESULTS

Patient Characteristics

The 834 identified patients included 360 in the pre-Oncotype dx era and 474 in the post-Oncotype dx era. During chart review, 13 patients in the pre-Oncotype dx era and 38 patients in the post-Oncotype dx era were excluded because they did not meet the eligibility criteria (Figure 1).

FIGURE 1.

FIGURE 1

CONSORT diagram of patients included in the study. (Oncotype DX is a trademark of Genomic Health, Redwood City, CA, U.S.A.)

The eligible patients in both groups were well matched for age, grade and stage of disease, and comorbidities (Table I). The median age in both groups was 59 years. Tumour grade was similar in the two eras, with most patients having an intermediate tumour grade. Most patients had T1c or T2 tumours. Overall, the difference in T stage between the eras was minimal: in the pre-Oncotype dx era, 195 patients (54.2%) were staged T1c and 146 (40.6%) were staged T2; and in the post-Oncotype dx era, 248 (52.3%) were staged T1c, and 188 (39.7%) were staged T2. Likewise, there were minimal differences in nodal status, with 25 patients in pre-Oncotype dx era (6.9%) and 41 in the post-Oncotype dx era (8.6%) having isolated tumour cells classified as N0i+. Rates of diabetes, liver disease, kidney disease, cerebrovascular disease, and cardiovascular disease were comparable in the two groups. More patients with a prior history of other cancers were identified in the post-Oncotype dx cohort than in the pre-Oncotype dx era (29 in the pre-Oncotype dx cohort and 55 in the post-Oncotype dx cohort), although the difference was not statistically significant (p = 0.092).

TABLE I.

Patient demographics in pre- and post-Oncotype DXa eras

Parameter Oncotype DX era [n (%)] p Value

Pre Post Both
Patients (n) 360 474 834

Age at MO consultation (years)
 Median 59 59 59 0.052
 Range 29–80 24–80 24–80

Tumour grade [n (%)]
 Low 0 (0) 14b (3.0) 14 (1.7) 0.003b
 Intermediate 218 (60.6) 295 (62.2) 513 (61.6)
 High 142 (39.4) 165 (34.8) 307 (36.8)

Pathologic tumour stage
 IA 4 (1.1) 1 (0.2) 5 (0.6) 0.094
 IB 10 (2.8) 29 (6.1) 39 (4.7)
 IC 195 (54.2) 248 (52.3) 443 (53.1)
 II 146 (40.6) 188 (39.7) 334 (40.0)
 III 5 (1.4) 8 (1.7) 13 (1.6)

Pathologic nodal status
 N0 335 (93.1) 433 (91.4) 768 (92.1) 0.366
 N0 (i+) 25 (6.9) 41 (8.6) 66 (7.9)

Comorbidities
 Diabetes 45 (12.5) 45 (9.5) 90 (10.8) 0.177
 Liver disease 6 (1.7) 5 (1.1) 11 (1.3) 0.545
 Kidney disease 7 (1.9) 7 (1.5) 14 (1.7) 0.603
 Previous cancer 29 (8.1) 55 (11.6) 84 (10.1) 0.092
 Cerebrovascular disease 9 (2.5) 7 (1.5) 16 (1.9) 0.286
 Cardiovascular diseasec 8 (2.2) 10 (2.1) 18 (2.2) 0.912
a

Genomic Health, Redwood City, CA, U.S.A.

b

Although they didn’t meet eligibility criteria, these 14 patients received Oncotype DX testing, which affected the chi-square p value calculation. Tumour grade did not affect the type of chemotherapy.

c

Includes angina, myocardial infarction, and congestive heart failure.

Recurrence Score and Chemotherapy Use

With respect to the distribution of Oncotype dx Recurrence Score results within the post-Oncotype dx cohort, 250 patients (52.7%) had a low Recurrence Score (<18), 151 patients (31.9%) had an intermediate Recurrence Score (18–30), and 73 patients (15.4%) had a high Recurrence Score (≥31). That Recurrence Score distribution is similar to the distribution in a B.C. study by Davidson et al.30 and in studies conducted in other jurisdictions31. In our study, 36.7% of patients in the pre-Oncotype dx era and 24.9% in the post-Oncotype dx era received chemotherapy in addition to endocrine therapy, representing an 11.8 percentage point decline in chemotherapy use between the eras (p < 0.001; 95% ci: 5.5 to 18.0).

Type of Chemotherapy Regimen

Comparison of the pre-Oncotype dx era with the post-Oncotype dx era demonstrated an 11.2 percentage point increase in the use of short-course chemotherapy (to 69.5% from 58.3%; p = 0.068; 95% ci: –0.8 to 23.1). The use of more myelosuppressive chemotherapy regimens increased by 11.4 percentage points in the post-Oncotype dx era (to 78.8% from 67.4%; p = 0.044; 95% ci: 0.3 to 22.4). A decline of 15.5 percentage points was noted in the frequency of anthracycline-based chemotherapy in the post-Oncotype dx cohort compared with the pre-Oncotype dx cohort (47.7% pre vs. 32.2% post; p = 0.016; 95% ci: 3.4 to 27.7; Table II). Those findings are reflective of an increase of 15.5 percentage points in the proportion of patients receiving dc chemotherapy in the post-Oncotype dx era compared with the pre-Oncotype dx era (52.3% pre vs. 67.8% post; p = 0.012; supplemental Table 2). The dc protocol is a short-course (12-week) chemotherapy protocol, and it is considered more myelosuppressive because docetaxel is associated with increased risk of febrile neutropenia32,33. A comparison of the types of chemotherapy prescribed to patients having a low or intermediate Recurrence Score and to those having a high Recurrence Score showed that a significantly greater proportion of patients with a high Recurrence Score received longer courses of chemotherapy (17.6% vs. 40.3%; p = 0.008; 95% ci: 6.1 to 39.2) and anthracycline-based regimens more often (19.6% vs. 41.8%; p = 0.010; 95% ci: 5.3 to 39.0; Table III).

TABLE II.

Types of chemotherapy regimens prescribed in the pre- and post-Oncotype DXa eras

Regimen received Oncotype DX era [n (%)] Percentage point change p Value

Pre (n=360) Post (n=474)
Endocrine therapy
 Only endocrine agents 228 (63.3) 356 (75.1) 11.8 <0.001

Chemotherapy 132 (36.7) 118 (24.9)
 Short-course 77 (58.3) 82 (69.5) 11.2 0.068
 Long-course 55 (41.7) 36 (30.5)
 Anthracycline-based
  Yes 63 (47.7) 38 (32.2) 15.5 0.016
  No 69 (52.3) 80 (67.8)
 Myelosuppressive
  More 89 (67.4) 93 (78.8) 11.4 0.044
  Less 43 (32.6) 25 (21.2)
a

Genomic Health, Redwood City, CA, U.S.A.

TABLE III.

Types of chemotherapy regimens prescribed in patients with low and intermediate or high Recurrence Scores in the post-Oncotype DXa cohort

Regimen received Recurrence Score group [n (%)] Percentage point change p Value

Low and Intermediate (n=401) High (n=73)
Endocrine therapy
 Only endocrine agents 350 (87.3) 6 (8.2) 79.1 <0.001

Chemotherapy 51 (12.7) 67 (91.8)
 Short-course 42 (82.4) 40 (59.7) 22.7 0.008
 Long-course 9 (17.6) 27 (40.3)
 Anthracycline-based
  Yes 10 (19.6) 28 (41.8) 22.2 0.010
  No 41 (80.4) 39 (58.2)
 Myelosuppressive
  More 43 (84.3) 50 (74.6) 9.7 0.205
  Less 8 (15.7) 17 (25.4)
a

Genomic Health, Redwood City, CA, U.S.A.

DISCUSSION

The availability of Oncotype dx testing resulted in subtle but notable differences in the types and durations of chemotherapy for patients with early-stage bca in British Columbia. Our study shows an increase of 11.2 percentage points in the choice of short-course (12-week) chemotherapy treatments in the post-Oncotype dx era compared with the pre-Oncotype dx era (for chemotherapy-eligible patients). That observation suggests a shift away from the use of longer chemotherapy regimens since the adoption of Oncotype dx testing. Most patients in the post-Oncotype dx cohort (84.5%) had either a low or intermediate Recurrence Score. Those patients were either spared chemotherapy or received a shorter course of chemotherapy compared with their counterparts in the pre-Oncotype dx era, who were more likely to undergo longer protocols despite having the same tumour stages and grades. In the post-Oncotype dx era, more-aggressive treatment approaches, such as longer courses of chemotherapy or anthracycline-based regimens, were often reserved for patients with a high Recurrence Score.

Our study also showed a statistically significant decrease of 15.5 percentage points in the use of anthracycline-based agents in the post-Oncotype dx era compared with the pre-Oncotype dx era. Those results accord with the findings of Henry et al.34, which showed a decrease of 24 percentage points in the use of anthracycline-based chemotherapy for patients who had undergone Oncotype dx testing. Prior studies have investigated the effects of anthracycline-based chemotherapy regimens on cardiovascular health in patients, and there is a well-established link between anthracycline-based agents and increased rates of cardiotoxicity and cardiac death35. Fewer patients are being exposed to the cardiotoxicity risk associated with anthracyclines in the post-Oncotype dx era.

We observed a statistically significant decline of 11.8 percentage points in the proportion of patients prescribed chemotherapy in the post-Oncotype dx era, which is a smaller change than described in prior reports. Davidson et al.30 showed that Oncotype dx testing led to a change of recommendation by B.C. physicians in 30% of cases—specifically, chemotherapy was omitted in 20% of cases and added in 10% of cases. However, our study cohort included larger proportions of patients with grade 2 and 3 bca, and stage ii and iii tumours. Also, the patient population in our study was older, having a median age 6 years greater than the mean age in the Davidson et al. study (59 years vs. 53 years)30. Other studies have reported a change in the treatment recommendation for 20%–45% of cases, with most reporting a net decline in chemotherapy use of 10–15 percentage points725. Again, small variations in the cohort composition were evident between the studies, because our study restricted Oncotype dx testing to patients with grade 2 or grade 3 tumours only; other studies included patients with grade 1 tumours. Those differences might explain the subtle decline in chemotherapy use seen in our study, compared with previous studies, for the post-Oncotype dx era.

The Davidson et al.30 study also demonstrated that the use of Oncotype dx testing in the province of British Columbia was cost-effective within the context of a publicly funded health care system. Since the availability of Oncotype dx, the trend toward the prescription of shorter chemotherapy regimens might result in higher cost savings than previously reported in studies focused on the omission of chemotherapy alone. For instance, in British Columbia, the current cost of 4 cycles of dc chemotherapy is approximately $1435, which is nearly half the $2500 cost of the longer act regimen (4 cycles of doxorubicin–cyclophosphamide every 3 weeks, followed by 4 cycles of paclitaxel every 3 weeks), when nursing hours, the cost of the chemotherapy agents, and the cost of filgrastim are considered3638. The Oncotype dx test costs CA$4380 (Wong N. Genomic Health. Personal communication, 2019). Consequently, it is important to monitor whether the decrease in chemotherapy use since the availability of Oncotype dx testing continues to mitigate the cost of using the test in clinical practice.

Among the limitations of the present study is its status as a retrospective cohort study, in which the patient data collected were limited to those available from retrospective chart review. Additional factors affecting the type of chemotherapy being prescribed in the pre- and post-Oncotype dx eras might not have been captured. For instance, a cohort of patients in the post-Oncotype dx era might have been missed because a decision about the use of chemotherapy was made without Oncotype dx testing because of preference or comorbidity. Moreover, the present study reflects trends for the use of chemotherapy in early-stage bca in British Columbia, although whether those trends are reflective of changes in the type of chemotherapy used in other regions or in patients with higher-stage disease remains unclear. That being said, BC Cancer encompasses 5 cancer care institutions dispersed across the province. The present study was therefore able to investigate the effect of Oncotype dx testing on the type of chemotherapy used across multiple institutions in a contemporary population-based cohort. It included patients with bca treated immediately before and after the availability of Oncotype dx. Although changes in standard bca treatment practices are possible, those changes should be mitigated by the negligible time difference between the two eras. In particular, the dc chemotherapy protocol was launched in British Columbia in 2007, well before the period under investigation39. Although prospective randomized studies are the “gold standard” to assess the effect of an intervention on outcomes, an analysis of the effect that the availability of a new health technology exerts on real-world behaviour can be obtained only in a careful retrospective review. The present study therefore encompasses a large group of patients eligible for Oncotype dx testing and demonstrates the effect of that test on real-world practice.

CONCLUSIONS

The availability of Oncotype dx testing has had a notable impact on the type of chemotherapy prescribed in early-stage estrogen receptor–positive, her2-negative bca. Notable trends toward an increase in the use of short-course chemotherapy and a significant decline in the use of anthracycline-based chemotherapy regimens were observed in the post-Oncotype dx era. Chemotherapy use was reduced by 11.8 percentage points, suggesting a smaller effect on the overall use of chemotherapy than has been reported in other studies. With the recent publication of the tailorx results, which found no benefit with the use of chemotherapy for nearly all patients with an Oncotype dx low or intermediate Recurrence Score, we expect a further shift in chemotherapy prescription patterns. As we continue to monitor the effect of Oncotype dx testing and other biomarker assays in this setting, we will be able to assess the long-term implications of the foregoing trends on resource allocation.

Supplementary Information

CONC-27-e86-S001.pdf (257.9KB, pdf)

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

We acknowledge BC Cancer, the University of British Columbia Medical Undergraduate Program, and the University of Waterloo cooperative education program. We also thank Kristen Bystrom for her support with statistical analysis, and Julie Bedford and Linda Hamata for insights about chemotherapy treatment practices in British Columbia. We acknowledge Amgen for providing unrestricted funding for this project (research grant no. 20157087 to CES). Lastly, we thank all the patients undergoing treatment for bca, without whom this project would not be possible.

Footnotes

Supplemental material available at http://www.current-oncology.com

CONFLICT OF INTEREST DISCLOSURES

We have read and understood Current Oncology’s policy on disclosing conflicts of interest, and we declare the following interests: NL has received research funding from Genomic Health and AbbVie, and has received fees as an advisory board member from TerSera Canada and Pfizer. CES has received research funding from Pfizer and Amgen, and has received fees as an advisory board member from Pfizer, Amgen, Novartis, Roche, Merck, Lilly, Sandoz, and Mylan. CL has received materials to support clinical trials (nonfinancial support) from NanoString. KW, WY, KD, CI, and SB have no conflicts of interest to disclose.

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