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. 2020 May 27;326:108389. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2020.108389

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

Epidemic curves with varying contact rates. The contact rates decrease by 1 from 10 to 6 per day (left to right), corresponding to reproduction numbers ranging from 2.5 to 1.5. As these numbers decrease, the percent of the population infected decreases from 89% to 58%. Thus, social distancing not only delays and diminishes the peak number of infections, it also reduces the total number of infections.