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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 May 29.
Published in final edited form as: J Am Coll Cardiol. 2019 Oct 22;74(16):2074–2084. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2019.07.083

Table 3: Predicting risk of 1-year angina model (The reduced model).

This table contains the estimated logistic regression coefficients for the significant variables that are entered into the 1-year angina model.

Effect Regression Coefficient Standard Error P value
Intercept −0.1099 0.8079 0.8918
Revascularization strategy (PCI) −0.07646 0.2149 0.7220
Age −0.01316 0.007276 0.0707
Male −0.2904 0.1458 0.0466
Presentation as acute coronary syndrome −0.2818 0.1442 0.0509
Hemoglobin (+1 g/dL) −0.06585 0.04219 0.1188
Daily/Weekly angina at baseline* 1.1275 0.1972 <.0001
Monthly angina at baseline* 0.6244 0.2009 0.0019
SYNTAX SCORE (>22) −0.3790 0.1963 0.0536
Revascularization with PCI*SYNTAX (>22) 0.5900 0.2700 0.0290
*

Reference group for angina is (no angina)

The 1-year individualized angina predicted risk can be calculated as follows (substitute 1 or 0 for presence or absence of any categorical variable: presenting as ACS, history of MI, history of peripheral vascular disease, male and angina at baseline. For the variable “treatment” substitute 1 for PCI and 0 for CABG. For all continuous variables (BMI, eGFR, LVEF, hemoglobin and age) plug the actual value in the equation)= 1/(1+exp(− (−1.1504–0.02040* treatment*BMI + 0.01612*BMI - 0.00727* treatment*eGFR + 0.002129*eGFR + 0.2870* treatment *presenting as ACS - 0.2912* treatment *history of MI + 0.05326* history of MI - 0.5213* treatment *history of peripheral vascular disease + 0.08552* history of peripheral vascular disease + 0.006867*LVEF - 0.07286*hemoglobin - 0.01575*age - 0.4273* presenting as ACS + 1.4594*treatment - 0.2648*Male + 0.8988*angina at baseline)))