Table 3: Predicting risk of 1-year angina model (The reduced model).
This table contains the estimated logistic regression coefficients for the significant variables that are entered into the 1-year angina model.
Effect | Regression Coefficient | Standard Error | P value |
---|---|---|---|
Intercept | −0.1099 | 0.8079 | 0.8918 |
Revascularization strategy (PCI) | −0.07646 | 0.2149 | 0.7220 |
Age | −0.01316 | 0.007276 | 0.0707 |
Male | −0.2904 | 0.1458 | 0.0466 |
Presentation as acute coronary syndrome | −0.2818 | 0.1442 | 0.0509 |
Hemoglobin (+1 g/dL) | −0.06585 | 0.04219 | 0.1188 |
Daily/Weekly angina at baseline* | 1.1275 | 0.1972 | <.0001 |
Monthly angina at baseline* | 0.6244 | 0.2009 | 0.0019 |
SYNTAX SCORE (>22) | −0.3790 | 0.1963 | 0.0536 |
Revascularization with PCI*SYNTAX (>22) | 0.5900 | 0.2700 | 0.0290 |
Reference group for angina is (no angina)
The 1-year individualized angina predicted risk can be calculated as follows (substitute 1 or 0 for presence or absence of any categorical variable: presenting as ACS, history of MI, history of peripheral vascular disease, male and angina at baseline. For the variable “treatment” substitute 1 for PCI and 0 for CABG. For all continuous variables (BMI, eGFR, LVEF, hemoglobin and age) plug the actual value in the equation)= 1/(1+exp(− (−1.1504–0.02040* treatment*BMI + 0.01612*BMI - 0.00727* treatment*eGFR + 0.002129*eGFR + 0.2870* treatment *presenting as ACS - 0.2912* treatment *history of MI + 0.05326* history of MI - 0.5213* treatment *history of peripheral vascular disease + 0.08552* history of peripheral vascular disease + 0.006867*LVEF - 0.07286*hemoglobin - 0.01575*age - 0.4273* presenting as ACS + 1.4594*treatment - 0.2648*Male + 0.8988*angina at baseline)))