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. 2020 May 30;5:346–356. doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2020.05.003

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This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

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Fig. 2 — Best-fit curves of the m-IDEA model at various stages of the pandemic in Canada. See text for full details on the fitting procedure. Projected trajectory was dependent on the serial interval used on the model. Projections were made every five days using data reported since March 11, 2020. All incidence data up to and including the vertical red line were used to fit the model. Incidence data reported since the projections were made are plotted to the right of the vertical red line. See the online version of this article for colour. a) projection day (PD) 5; b) PD 10; c) PD 15; d) PD 20; e) PD 25; f) PD 30; g) PD 35; h) PD 40; i) PD 45; j) PD 50; k) PD 55.

Fig. 2 — Best-fit curves of the m-IDEA model at various stages of the pandemic in Canada. See text for full details on the fitting procedure. Projected trajectory was dependent on the serial interval used on the model. Projections were made every five days using data reported since March 11, 2020. All incidence data up to and including the vertical red line were used to fit the model. Incidence data reported since the projections were made are plotted to the right of the vertical red line. See the online version of this article for colour. a) projection day (PD) 5; b) PD 10; c) PD 15; d) PD 20; e) PD 25; f) PD 30; g) PD 35; h) PD 40; i) PD 45; j) PD 50; k) PD 55.