Table 2:
Predictors of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation After Non-Cardiac Surgery
| Variable | Odds Ratio (95% Confidence Interval) | p-value |
|---|---|---|
| Demographics | ||
| Age 35–50 vs. Age 18–35 | 1.62 (0.73–3.58) | 0.23 |
| Age 50–65 vs. Age 18–35 | 2.49 (1.17–5.27) | 0.02 |
| Age ≥65 vs. Age 18–35 | 6.21 (2.94–13.11) | <0.001 |
| Male vs. Female | 1.11 (1.04–1.19) | 0.002 |
| Black vs. White | 0.65 (0.57–0.73) | <0.001 |
| Hispanic vs. White | 0.73 (0.63–0.84) | <0.001 |
| Other vs. White | 1.01 (0.92–1.12) | 0.82 |
| Income Group (centile) | ||
| <25th vs. >75th | 0.97 (0.87–1.08) | 0.58 |
| 25th-50th vs. >75th | 0.95 (0.87–1.04) | 0.28 |
| 50th-75th vs. >75th | 0.97 (0.89–1.06) | 0.50 |
| Comorbidities | ||
| Alcohol Abuse | 1.25 (1.01–1.54) | 0.04 |
| Anemia | 1.29 (1.18–1.40) | <0.001 |
| Chronic Kidney Disease | 0.98 (0.89–1.08) | 0.69 |
| Chronic Pulmonary Disease | 1.22 (1.13–1.31) | <0.001 |
| Coronary Artery Disease | 1.12 (1.03–1.22) | 0.006 |
| Prior Percutaneous Coronary | 0.79 (0.72–0.86) | <0.001 |
| Intervention | ||
| Prior Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting | 0.78 (0.71–0.86) | <0.001 |
| Diabetes Mellitus | 0.76 (0.71–0.83) | <0.001 |
| Dyslipidemia | 0.87 (0.82–0.93) | <0.001 |
| End-Stage Renal Disease | 0.97 (0.83–1.14) | 0.71 |
| History of Heart Failure | 2.02 (1.86–2.20) | <0.001 |
| History of Venous Thromboembolism | 0.89 (0.74–1.08) | 0.24 |
| Hypertension | 1.0 (0.92–1.08) | 0.97 |
| Malignancy | 0.96 (0.78–1.17) | 0.68 |
| Obesity | 1.08 (0.97–1.19) | 0.15 |
| Peripheral Arterial Disease | 1.15 (1.06–1.24) | <0.001 |
| Tobacco Use | 0.87 (0.81–0.94) | <0.001 |
| Valvular Heart Disease | 1.77 (1.52–1.85) | <0.001 |
| Surgery Type | ||
| General Surgery | Reference | |
| Genitourinary | 0.42 (0.36–0.49) | <0.001 |
| Skin/Burn | 0.29 (0.22–0.38) | <0.001 |
| Neurosurgery | 0.45 (0.38–0.55) | <0.001 |
| Obstetric | 0.16 (0.12–0.22) | <0.001 |
| Orthopedic | 0.37 (0.34 –0.40) | <0.001 |
| Other Surgeries | 0.40 (0.32–0.51) | <0.001 |
| Thoracic | 2.08 (1.84–2.35) | <0.001 |
| Vascular | 0.63 (0.58–0.70) | <0.001 |
The C-statistic was 0.85 for this model.