Skip to main content
. 2020 Jun 1;326:108391. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2020.108391

Table 4.

The peak number of new cases, peak time, and final epidemic size after containment strategies are implemented in Toronto.

Scenarios Peak size (95% CI) Peak time (95% CI) Final size (95% CI)
β 60.19 (47.42, 72.97) Apr 2 (Mar 29, Apr 7) 2712 (1603, 3820)
0.8β 50.30 (41.03, 59.57) Apr 1 (Mar 28, Apr 6) 2217 (1451, 2984)
0.6β 40.94 (34.55, 47.32) Mar 31 (Mar 26, Apr 4) 1751 (1239, 2262)
q=0 60.19 (47.42, 72.97) Apr 2 (Mar 29, Apr 7) 2712 (1603, 3820)
q=1∕8 44.66 (39.12, 50.21) Mar 28 (Mar 26, Mar 31) 1486 (1111, 1861)
q=1∕4 38.79 (33.86, 43.72) Mar 27 (Mar 25, Mar 29) 1133 (878, 1388)