Table 2.
Relative contribution (%) of the ecological factors contributing toward predicting the distribution of Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus mosquito vectors in Canada and the United States for the time period 2006–2016, using projected climatic data from four regional climatic data models (RCP4.5) and a single boosted regression trees model run.
Species | Covariates | Regional climatic models | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
CanRCM4-CanESM2 [RC (%)]a |
CRCM5-CanESM2 [RC (%)]a |
CRCM5-MPI-ESM-LR [RC (%)]a |
HIRHAM5-EC-EARTH [RC (%)]a |
||
Aedes aegypti | Mean temperature | 8.21 | 51.92 | 20.13 | 30.56 |
Mean minimum temperature | 3.49 | 2.77 | 8.61 | 36.84 | |
Mean maximum temperature | 6.41 | 17.16 | 15.45 | 4.48 | |
Mean January temperature | 43.48 | 11.90 | 13.03 | 0.00 | |
Number of days | 24.10 | 9.01 | 19.46 | 17.36 | |
Number of days | 2.56 | 1.63 | 13.69 | 2.11 | |
Mean precipitation | 4.45 | 1.58 | 3.75 | 3.60 | |
Urban land cover | 7.34 | 4.03 | 5.87 | 5.04 | |
Aedes albopictus | Mean temperature | 5.88 | 3.92 | 16.33 | 9.83 |
Mean minimum temperature | 38.54 | 41.57 | 40.02 | 11.04 | |
Mean maximum temperature | — | — | — | — | |
Mean January temperature | 3.41 | 4.14 | 5.33 | 0.00 | |
Number of days | 34.00 | 33.73 | 19.23 | 52.03 | |
Number of days | 4.18 | 3.55 | 5.38 | 4.77 | |
Mean precipitation | 7.47 | 9.11 | 8.67 | 14.36 | |
Urban land cover | 6.52 | 3.99 | 5.05 | 7.97 |
Note: The covariates that contributed to the model were considered most influential. —, indicates covariate dropout during model simplification process; RC, relative contribution.
The RC values are rounded to two decimal digits.