Table 2.
Parameter estimates for segmented regression models for changes in motorcycle ownership.
Region | Dhaka |
Rest of Bangladesh |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data |
Survival corrected |
Uncorrected |
Survival corrected |
Uncorrected |
||||
Model no. | D1 | D2 | D3 | D4 | B1 | B2 | B3 | B4 |
GDP per capita (Y) | 0.0287 | 0.0338 | 0.0339 | 0.0342 | 0.0092 | 0.0142 | 0.0108 | 0.0149 |
(11.83)*** | (6.94)*** | (14.43)*** | (7.33)*** | (10.53)*** | (8.37)*** | (12.38)*** | (8.25)*** | |
Policy (P15) | 0.2631 | 0.1391 | 0.1993 | 0.1902 | 1.0789 | 0.9563 | 1.0420 | 0.9443 |
(1.94)* | (0.73) | (1.50) | (1.05) | (5.42)*** | (4.98)*** | (5.40)*** | (4.95)*** | |
E-hail (EH) | 1.1920 | 1.1141 | 1.1652 | 1.1595 | 0.0511 | −0.0258 | 0.0411 | −0.0202 |
(3.48)*** | (3.30)*** | (3.55)*** | (3.41)*** | (0.25) | (-0.14) | (0.21) | (-0.11) | |
Constant | – | −0.1589 | – | −0.0116 | – | −0.1569 | – | −0.1251 |
(-1.60) | (-0.12) | (-4.20)*** | (-3.20)*** | |||||
R2 | 0.967 | 0.928 | 0.975 | 0.936 | 0.973 | 0.969 | 0.977 | 0.968 |
Adj. R2 | 0.961 | 0.917 | 0.972 | 0.926 | 0.969 | 0.964 | 0.974 | 0.963 |
AIC | 8.567 | 9.061 | 5.910 | 7.902 | −27.364 | –32.761 | −28.900 | −31.654 |
BIC | 12.106 | 13.773 | 9.445 | 12.614 | –23.830 | −28.048 | −25.365 | −26.942 |
Breusch-Godfrey test for residual auto-correlation | 2.17 (p = 0.141) | 1.82 (p = 0.177) | 1.25 (p = 0.264) | 1.26 (p = 0.261) | 1.644 (p = 0.200) | 0.871 (p = 0.351) | 1.647 (p = 0.199) | 1.422 (p = 0.233) |
Portmanteau test for white-noise of residuals | 14.209 (p = 0.164) | 20.592 (p = 0.024) | 19.141 (p = 0.039) | 19.431 (p = 0.035) | 5.730 (p = 0.837) | 14.451 (p = 0.153) | 6.473 (p = 0.774) | 14.558 (p = 0.149) |
Bartletts test for white-noise of residuals | 0.923 (p = 0.362) | 0.935 (p = 0.347) | 0.829 (p = 0.498) | 0.835 (p = 0.489) | 0.935 (0.347) | 0.816 (p = 0.518) | 0.975 (p = 0.297) | 0.927 (p = 0.357) |
LR test | 1.51 (p = 0.220) | 0.01 (p = 0.926) | 7.40 (p = 0.007) | 4.75 (p = 0.029) | ||||
Estimation period | 1995–2018 |
***Statistically significant at 99%.
**Statistically significant at 95%.
*Statistically significant at 90%.