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. 2020 Jun 2;137:301–312. doi: 10.1016/j.tra.2020.05.002

Table 2.

Parameter estimates for segmented regression models for changes in motorcycle ownership.

Region Dhaka
Rest of Bangladesh
Data
Survival corrected
Uncorrected
Survival corrected
Uncorrected
Model no. D1 D2 D3 D4 B1 B2 B3 B4
GDP per capita (Y) 0.0287 0.0338 0.0339 0.0342 0.0092 0.0142 0.0108 0.0149
(11.83)*** (6.94)*** (14.43)*** (7.33)*** (10.53)*** (8.37)*** (12.38)*** (8.25)***
Policy (P15) 0.2631 0.1391 0.1993 0.1902 1.0789 0.9563 1.0420 0.9443
(1.94)* (0.73) (1.50) (1.05) (5.42)*** (4.98)*** (5.40)*** (4.95)***
E-hail (EH) 1.1920 1.1141 1.1652 1.1595 0.0511 −0.0258 0.0411 −0.0202
(3.48)*** (3.30)*** (3.55)*** (3.41)*** (0.25) (-0.14) (0.21) (-0.11)
Constant −0.1589 −0.0116 −0.1569 −0.1251
(-1.60) (-0.12) (-4.20)*** (-3.20)***
R2 0.967 0.928 0.975 0.936 0.973 0.969 0.977 0.968
Adj. R2 0.961 0.917 0.972 0.926 0.969 0.964 0.974 0.963
AIC 8.567 9.061 5.910 7.902 −27.364 –32.761 −28.900 −31.654
BIC 12.106 13.773 9.445 12.614 –23.830 −28.048 −25.365 −26.942
Breusch-Godfrey test for residual auto-correlation 2.17 (p = 0.141) 1.82 (p = 0.177) 1.25 (p = 0.264) 1.26 (p = 0.261) 1.644 (p = 0.200) 0.871 (p = 0.351) 1.647 (p = 0.199) 1.422 (p = 0.233)
Portmanteau test for white-noise of residuals 14.209 (p = 0.164) 20.592 (p = 0.024) 19.141 (p = 0.039) 19.431 (p = 0.035) 5.730 (p = 0.837) 14.451 (p = 0.153) 6.473 (p = 0.774) 14.558 (p = 0.149)
Bartletts test for white-noise of residuals 0.923 (p = 0.362) 0.935 (p = 0.347) 0.829 (p = 0.498) 0.835 (p = 0.489) 0.935 (0.347) 0.816 (p = 0.518) 0.975 (p = 0.297) 0.927 (p = 0.357)
LR test 1.51 (p = 0.220) 0.01 (p = 0.926) 7.40 (p = 0.007) 4.75 (p = 0.029)
Estimation period 1995–2018

***Statistically significant at 99%.

**Statistically significant at 95%.

*Statistically significant at 90%.