Table 8.
Gravity estimates for energy-economy sectors
| (1) oil |
(2) cru |
(3) gas |
(4) col |
(5) ele |
(6) trn |
(7) con |
(8) eint |
(9) omnf |
(10) osrv |
(11) roe |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lnFromGDP | 0.422*** | 0.311*** | 0.311*** | 0.402*** | 0.320*** | 0.445*** | 0.207*** | 0.369*** | 0.356*** | 0.447*** | 0.221*** |
| (0.0594) | (0.0404) | (0.0404) | (0.0861) | (0.106) | (0.0347) | (0.0713) | (0.0325) | (0.0363) | (0.0460) | (0.0602) | |
| lnToGDP | 0.166*** | 0.189*** | 0.189*** | 0.221*** | 0.301*** | 0.204*** | 0.207*** | 0.147*** | 0.179*** | 0.226*** | −0.0140 |
| (0.0478) | (0.0336) | (0.0336) | (0.0663) | (0.106) | (0.0341) | (0.0713) | (0.0277) | (0.0351) | (0.0428) | (0.0598) | |
| lnDist | −1.488*** | −1.110*** | −1.110*** | −1.134*** | −1.204*** | −1.039*** | −1.771*** | −0.876*** | −0.836*** | −1.224*** | −1.406*** |
| (0.153) | (0.182) | (0.182) | (0.278) | (0.191) | (0.125) | (0.254) | (0.133) | (0.135) | (0.147) | (0.198) | |
| Contiguity | 0.414 | 0.234 | 0.234 | −0.892* | 1.360*** | 0.282 | −0.960* | 0.429 | 0.294 | 0.0690 | 0.130 |
| (0.467) | (0.380) | (0.380) | (0.500) | (0.428) | (0.299) | (0.489) | (0.285) | (0.277) | (0.324) | (0.388) | |
| Language | 0.526* | −1.060*** | −1.060*** | −0.571* | 0.518* | 0.0162 | 0.816** | 0.0879 | 0.277 | 0.115 | 0.0495 |
| (0.295) | (0.274) | (0.274) | (0.328) | (0.270) | (0.184) | (0.316) | (0.177) | (0.169) | (0.209) | (0.269) | |
| Constant | 4.748*** | 2.130 | 2.130 | 3.240 | −0.326 | 1.614 | 4.313** | 0.0978 | −0.450 | 2.741** | 3.274** |
| (1.205) | (1.545) | (1.545) | (2.614) | (1.451) | (1.002) | (2.010) | (1.105) | (1.147) | (1.186) | (1.560) | |
| Observations | 600 | 800 | 800 | 100 | 200 | 2400 | 2000 | 20900 | 4700 | 12600 | 4100 |
| R2 | 0.506 | 0.359 | 0.359 | 0.457 | 0.513 | 0.448 | 0.554 | 0.415 | 0.390 | 0.450 | 0.346 |
Notes: Standard errors, clustered by origin destination pairs, are in parentheses with
p < 0.1
p < 0.05
p < 0.01.
Source: Authors calculations.