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. 2020 May 11;14(5):e0008320. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0008320

Table 4. Results of the univariate binomial regression analyses sorted according to their p-values.

Variable Type(1) D2 p-value OR (95% CI)
Tmean 7 days before EDP (Tmean7) M 8.8% 0.0013 1.395 (1.148–1.723)
Tmin 7 days before EDP (Tmin7) M 7.4% 0.0022 1.346 (1.115–1.642)
Reporting delay (RD) SC 7.6% 0.0024 1.042 (1.008–1.065)
Intervention delay SC 9.6% 0.0026 1.068 (1.014–1.111)
Tmax 7 days before EDP (Tmax7) M 6.9% 0.0032 1.264 (1.086–1.483)
Tmax 10 days after EDP (Tmax10) M 6.5% 0.0047 1.273 (1.082–1.507)
Tmean 10 days after EDP (Tmean10) M 6.2% 0.0073 1.345 (1.094–1.683)
Discontinuous urban fabrics within a radius of 100 m (DUF100) LC 6.9% 0.0077 1.011 (1.004–1.020)
Percentage of “house”- type residences at the IRIS scale SE 5.7% 0.0103 11.42 (1.96–88.26)
Percentage of vegetation within a radius of 300 m (Vegetation) LC 3.4% 0.0175 1.033 (1.003–1.058)
Bounded growing degree days 10 days after EDP (GDD10) M 6.4% 0.0181 1.003 (1.001–1.005)
Sampling delay SC 4.7% 0.0185 1.037 (0.993–1.061)
Bounded growing degree days until EDP (GDD0) M 5.8% 0.0203 1.002 (1.001–1.005)
Discontinuous urban fabrics within a radius of 300 m (DUF300) LC 3.8% 0.0332 1.001 (1.000–1.002)
Tmin 10 days after EDP (Tmin10) M 3.3% 0.0415 1.214 (1.012–1.470)
Percentage of families in households SE 3.2% 0.0582 68.25 (1.21–8364.41)
NDVI within a radius of 300 m M/LC 2.5% 0.0074 93.15 (0.70–14501.45)
Diurnal temperature range (DTR) M 2.1% 0.0894 1.185 (0.973–1.444)
Day of the year M 2.1% 0.0969 1.010 (0.998–1.023)
Weekly rainfall 3 weeks before EDP (Rain3w) M 1.1% 0.1195 1.009 (0.992–1.017)
Percentage of main residences (Main Res.) SE 2.7% 0.1212 210.5 (0.8–597711.4)
Weekly rainfall 2 weeks before EDP (Rain2w) M 2.9% 0.1515 0.938 (0.833–1.000)
Percentage of vacant residences SE 1.8% 0.1595 0.000 (0.000–14.634)
Number of buildings within a radius of 300 m (Buildings) LC 2.0% 0.1610 0.999 (0.997–1.000)
Length of viremia (days) in the study area SC 2.4% 0.1869 1.301 (0.942–2.131)
Continuous urban fabric within a radius of 300 m LC 2.6% 0.2000 0.998 (0.993–1.000)
Weekly rainfall 1 week before EDP (Rain1w) M 1.9% 0.2287 0.949 (0.844–1.008)

Only variables below the selected threshold are presented. D2: explained deviance.

DUF: discontinuous urban fabrics (between 30 to 80% of the total surface is impermeable, covered by buildings, roads and artificially surfaced areas); EDP: earliest date of presence of an imported case during viremia in the study area; GDD: bounded growing degree days; NDVI: normalized difference vegetation index.

(1) The different variables are classified as follows. LC: variable related to land cover. S: variable related to surveillance and control. SE: socioeconomic variable. M: meteorological variable. RD: reporting delay (in days), as the period between the earliest date of presence of an imported case and the date of case reporting.