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. 2020 May 26;128(5):057008. doi: 10.1289/EHP5779

Table 1.

Risk of bacillary dysentery due to temperature in 11 regions of China.

Region RR (95% CI) RR for adaptation Attributable fraction (%)
Huanghuai 1.003 (0.993, 1.013) 1.002 1.9
Inner Mongolia 1.023 (1.002, 1.043) 1.016 15.7
Jianghan 1.014 (0.993, 1.035) 1.010 5.6
Jianghuai 1.012 (0.995, 1.029) 1.008 4.9
Jiangnan 1.014 (1.003, 1.025) 1.009 4.8
Northeast 1.021 (1.008, 1.034) 1.014 13.6
Northern 1.029 (1.015, 1.044) 1.020 12.8
Northwest 1.014 (1.002, 1.026) 1.010 6.8
Southern 1.033 (1.015, 1.052) 1.024 6.3
Southwest 1.019 (1.006, 1.032) 1.013 5.8
Tibet 0.970 (0.900, 1.046) 0.979 1.6
National 1.017 (1.012, 1.021) 1.012 7.0

Note: RR represents the regional combined relative risk for a 1°C increase of daily mean temperature derived from the two-stage model during 2014–2016. RR for adaptation used the coefficient (β) of region-specific relative risks reduced by 30%. Attributable fraction was estimated in the city-specific DLNM-analysis with BLUP method. Higher temperature for attributable fraction means all average daily temperatures above the 50th percentile for each city at baseline (in 2014–2016). BLUP, best linear unbiased prediction; CI, confidence interval; DLNM, distributed lag nonlinear model; RR, relative risk.