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. 2020 Apr 9;44(7):2123–2130. doi: 10.1007/s00268-020-05480-8

Table 2.

Assumptions of GIS calculations and the three delay framework, including factors which complicate modeling and examples of delays which current models generally do not account for

Assumption Three Delay framework Potential difficulties in measurement Example of unaccounted delay
Patients will decide to seek care directly when need arises First delay Patient and disease specific Securing funds for travel and/or care
Patients can start their travel right away Second delay Highly context and patient specific Waiting for transport, e.g., ambulance or private
Patients can travel at declared speed Second delay Context specific Poor road conditions, using slower modes of transport
Patients choose the fastest route Second delay Depends on setting, referral system Travels another route, e.g., via lower tier hospital
Upon arrival, there is capacity to take care of patient Third delay Costly, may vary depending on time of day No surgeon on site, overfilled ER

Note that GIS is used to quantify the second delay