Table 2.
Assumptions of GIS calculations and the three delay framework, including factors which complicate modeling and examples of delays which current models generally do not account for
| Assumption | Three Delay framework | Potential difficulties in measurement | Example of unaccounted delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patients will decide to seek care directly when need arises | First delay | Patient and disease specific | Securing funds for travel and/or care |
| Patients can start their travel right away | Second delay | Highly context and patient specific | Waiting for transport, e.g., ambulance or private |
| Patients can travel at declared speed | Second delay | Context specific | Poor road conditions, using slower modes of transport |
| Patients choose the fastest route | Second delay | Depends on setting, referral system | Travels another route, e.g., via lower tier hospital |
| Upon arrival, there is capacity to take care of patient | Third delay | Costly, may vary depending on time of day | No surgeon on site, overfilled ER |
Note that GIS is used to quantify the second delay