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letter
. 2020 May 8;212(10):468–469. doi: 10.5694/mja2.50606
Mitigation strategy
Population (2016)2 No mitigation Close schools, universities Case isolation Case isolation, household quarantine Case isolation, household quarantine, social distancing of people over 70
ICU beds needed per 100 000 population1 275 240 190 125 90
ICU beds need, by LHD
Sydney 656 460 1805 1576 1247 821 591
South Western Sydney 964 342 2652 2314 1832 1205 868
South Eastern Sydney 914 021 514 2194 1737 1143 823
Western Sydney 948 584 2609 2277 1802 1186 854
Northern Sydney 914 233 2514 2194 1737 1143 823
Illawarra Shoalhaven 405 534 1115 973 771 507 365
Central Coast 335 309 922 805 637 419 302
Other LHDs 2 600 791 7152 6242 4942 3251 2341
All NSW (proportion of baseline bed number)* 7 739 274 21 283 (2435%) 18 574 (2125%) 14 705 (1682%) 9674 (1107%) 6965 (797%)
*

Estimated number of ICU beds prior to COVID‐19 epidemic: 874.3