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. 2020 Jun 3;59(11):1218–1239.e3. doi: 10.1016/j.jaac.2020.05.009

Table 3.

Longitudinal Studies Examining Social Isolation/Loneliness and Subsequent Mental Health Outcomes

Author (year), country Sample (selection criteria) Total N (% male participants) Child (≤11 y)/adolescent (12−18 y)/young adult (≥19 y) Age range, y Mean age (SD) at T1 Social isolation/ loneliness measure Mental health measures Cross-Sectional associations r (p) Length of follow-up, y Is social isolation/loneliness associated with later mental health?
Depression Anxiety
Boivin et al. (1995),61
Canada
School students 774 (51.8) Child 9–12 10.8 (NS) LSDQ CDI Lon-Dep 0.53 (p < .001) 1 T1 Lon – T2 Dep: r = 0.36 (p < .01)
T1 Lon accounted for 8.3% of variance in T2 Dep
Christ et al. (2017),62
USA
National Survey of Child and Adolescent Well-being (child welfare cohort) 2776 (47) Adolescent 11–17 13.5 (NS) LDSQ 7 peer isolation items 4 items from YSR NS 7 Controlling for caregiver neglect and covariates, a 1-SD increase in peer isolation was associated with a 0.49-SD increase in depression
Danneel et al. (2019),63
Belgium
Longitudinal cohorts Sample 1: 1116 (51.1),
Sample 2: 1423 (47.6),
Sample 3: 549 (37.33)
Adolescent Sample 1: 11–17
Sample 2: 11–18
Sample 3: 12–17
Sample 1: 13.79 (0.94)
Sample 2: 13.59 (0.98)
Sample 3: 14.82 (0.79)
LACA peer-related loneliness subscale Samples 1 and 3 –
SAS-A; CES-D. Sample 2 - CDI
Lon-Social anxiety 0.58 ≤ r ≤ 0.67
Lon-Dep 0.48 ≤ r ≤ 0.56 (all <.01)
1 Not significant Lon → Social anxiety
β = 0.10 (p < .001)
Fontaine et al. (2009),64
USA
School students (longitudinal cohort) NS (52) Child NS Estimated 5–9 NS LSDQ (T2) Internalizing items from: CBCL (mother T1 and T3);
TRF (teacher T1 and T2);
YSR (self T2 and T3)
NS 2-3 T2 Lon → Anx/Dep symptoms at T3
γ2 = 0.18, z = 2.60 (p < .01)
Jones et al. (2011),65
USA
Longitudinal cohort 889 (50) Child 6 NS LSDQ CDI short form NS 9 Indirect effects T1 Lon → T2 Suicidal thoughts through Dep (β = 0.06, p < .001)
Ladd and Ettekal (2013),66
USA
School students (longitudinal cohort) 478 (50) Adolescent 12–18 12.0 (n.s) LSDQ – revised - 3 items Depression items CBCL (parent);
TRF (teacher);
YSR (self)
Lon-Dep 0.19 (p < .01) (parent), 0.38 (p < .001) (teacher)
0.62 (p < .001) (self)
7 Changes in Lon associated with changes in Dep reported by teachers (r = 0.63, p < .001) and adolescents
(r = 0.65, p < .001), but not parents
(r = 0.18,p = .13)
Lalayants and Prince (2015),67 multiple countries National Survey of Child and Adolescent Wellbeing (child welfare cohort) 356 (0) Adolescent 11–12 NS LSDQ CDI NS 1.5 T1 Lon → T2 Dep
AOR = 2.93, CI = 1.74−4.91 (p < .001)
T1 lonely female participants were 5.09 times more likely (CI 2.24−11.56 (p < .001) to be depressed at T2
Lapierre et al. (2019),68
USA
College Students 346 (33.6) Young adult 17–20 19.11 (0.75) UCLA Loneliness Scale 10-Item CES-D Lon-Dep 0.628 (T1), 0.666 (T2) (p < .001) 0.25 T1 Lon – T2 Dep (r = 0.524, p < .001)
T1 Lon → T2 Dep b = 0.21, SE = .05 (p < .001)
Lasgaard et al. (2011b),69 Denmark School students T1: 1009 (43)
T2: 541 (40)
Adolescent/Young adult 15–26 17.11 (1.11) SELSA-short form; MSPSS BAI-Y,
BDI-Y
Lon-Dep 0.61 (p < .0005) Lon-Anx 0.51 (p < .0005).
Soc support– Dep r = −0.12, −0.18, −0.28 (all p < .0005)
1 T1 Lon→ T2 Dep (r = 0.37, p < .0005)
Cross-lagged structural equation modeling found T1 Lon did not predict Dep at T2
Liu et al. (2020),70
China
College students 741 (28.3) Young adult NS (estimated 18−20) 18.47 (0.87) 6 item index of social isolation based on only child status, number of friends, frequency of contact with friends and family; UCLA Loneliness Scale SDS NS 3 Female participants: T1 isolation associated with increased Dep (β = 0.22, p < .001)
Lon associated with increased Dep (β = 0.23, p < .001)
Male participants: T1 isolation associated with increased Dep (β = 0.25, p < .01)
Lon did not predict Dep (β = 0.14, p > .05)
Mak et al. (2018),71
USA
School students (randomized trial) 687 (47.7) Adolescent NS (estimated 11–14) 11.27 (0.49) LSDQ SAS-A Lon-social anxiety 0.41−0.45 (p < .01) 1.5 (T2), 3 (T3) T1 Lon → T2 Social Anxiety (β = 0.09, p < .05).
T2 Lon → T3 Social Anxiety (β = 0.12, p < .01)
By gender:
T2 Lon → T3 Social Anx:
Boys (β = 0.22, p < .001)
Girls (β = 0.01 p = .79)
Matthews et al. (2015),72
UK
Twin birth cohort 2232 (NS) Child 5 NS 6 items from CBCL (parent) and TRF (teacher) MASC NS 7 T1 social isolation failed to predict T2 Anx, controlling for T1 Anx
Qualter et al. (2010),73
UK
School students 296 (49.3) Child 5 NS T1 and T2: Peer and Parent subscales LACA T1: T-CARS
T2 and T3: DDPCA
T1
Peer Lon-internalizing symptoms 0.32 (p < .01)
Parent Lon-Internalizing Symptoms 0.09.
T2
Peer Lon- Dep 0.13 (p < .05)
Parent Lon-Dep 0.12 (p < .05)
8 T1 Peer Lon-T2 Dep r = 0.07
T1 Peer Lon-T3 Dep r = 0.06
T2 Peer Lon – T3 Dep r = 0.12 (p < .05)
T1 Parent Lon – T2 Dep r = 0.19, p < .01
T1 Parent Lon-T3 Dep r = 0.13 (p < .05)
T2 Parent Lon-T3 Dep r = 0.08
Structural model: Duration of Peer Lon → T3 Dep T1 and T2 Peer Lon, Parent Lon (T1, T2, and duration) did not independently predict T3 Dep
Schinka et al. (2013),74
USA
Longitudinal cohort study 832 (53) Child 9 NS LDSQ T1: CBCL (mother)
T3: CDI−Short form; Suicide items from CBCL and YSR
T3
Lon-Dep -0.10 (p < .01)
Lon− suicidal ideation r = 0.02
Lon− suicide attempt r = 0.4
2 (T2),
6 (T3)
T1 Lon-T3 Dep r = 0.01
T2 Lon-T3 Dep r = −0.01
T1 Lon-T3 Suicidal ideation r = 0.00
T2 Lon-T3 suicidal ideation r = 0.03
T1 Lon-T3 suicide attempt r = 0.02
T2 Lon-T3 suicide attempt r = −0.01
Vanhalst, Goosens et al. (2013)75 and Vanhalst, Klimstra et al. (2012),76 Netherlands Community sample via municipality registers 389 (53) Adolescents 15 15.22 (0.60) LACA Peer-related loneliness subscale 6 item depression questionnaire; SCARED generalized anxiety, panic and social anxiety subscales. Lon-Dep 0.34−0.50 (p < .001)
Lon- Perceived stress 0.23 (p < .001).
Lon- Generalized Anx 0.40 (p < .001),
Lon-Panic 0.13 (p < .05),
Lon− Social phobia 0.47 (p < .001)
5 T1 Lon → T2 Dep symptoms (B = 0.13, p < .001)
Vanhalst, Luyckx et al. (2012)77 Belgium University students Sample 1: 514 (10.9)
Sample 2: 437 (17)
Young adults Sample: 19.62 (0.62)
Sample 2: 18.22 (1.21)
NS Sample 1: 8-item revised UCLA Loneliness Scale.
Sample 2: LACA Peer-related loneliness subscale
Sample 1: 12-item CES-D
Sample 2: 20-item CES-D
Sample 1:
Lon-Dep 0.49−0.52 (p < .001)
Sample 2:
Lon-Dep r = 0.40−0.60 (p < .001)
2 Sample 1:
T1 lon – T2 Dep r = 0.35 (p < .001)
T1 lon – T3 Dep r = 0.36 (p < .001)
Lon → associated with Dep across both time intervals.
Sample 2: cross-lagged path from Lon associated with Dep (b = 0.12, p < .05)
Wang et al. (2020),78
China
School students 921 (48.3) Adolescents 12–15 12.98 (0.66) Revised UCLA Loneliness Scale (T1 and T2) SCARED;
DSRSC (T1 and T3)
T1
Lon- Anx 0.40 (p < .001)
Lon-Dep 0.57 (p < .001)
1 T1 Lon-T3 Dep 0.36 (p < .001)
T2 Lon-T3 Dep 0.46 (p < .001)
T1 Lon-T3 Anx 0.29, p<.001. T2 Lon-T3 Anx 0.36 (p < .001)
Zhou et al. (2020),79 China School students 866 (49) Adolescents 11–15 12.98 (0.67) UCLA Loneliness Scale (T1 and T2) DSRSC (T3) T1
Lon-Dep r = 0.56 (p < .001)
2 T1 Lon-T3 Dep r = 0.38 (p < .001)
Controlling for age, sex, and SES,
T2 Lon-T3 Dep adjusted b = 0.34 (p < .001)

Note: Anx = Anxiety; BAI-Y = Beck Anxiety Inventory for Youth; BDI-Y = Beck Depression Inventory for Youth; CBCL = Child Behaviour Checklist; CDI = Children’s Depression Inventory; CES-D = Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale; DDPCA = Depression Profile for Children and Adolescents; Dep = depression; DSRSC = Birleson Depression Self-Rating Scale for Children; Lon = Loneliness; LSDQ = Loneliness and Social Dissatisfaction Questionnaire; LACA = Loneliness and Aloneness Scale for Children and Adolescents; MASC = Multidimensional Anxiety Scale for Children; MSPSS = Multidimensional Scale of Perceived Social Support; NS = not specified; SAS-A = Social Anxiety Scale for Adolescents; SCARED = Scale for Child Anxiety Related Emotional Disorders; SES = socioeconomic status; SDS = Zung Self-rating Depression Scale; SELSA = Social and Emotional Loneliness Scale for Adults; T-CARS = Teacher-Classroom Adjustment Rating Scale; T1 = Time 1; T2 = Time 2; T3 = Time 3; TRF = Teacher Rating Form; YSR = Youth Self-Report Form.