Table 3.
Biomarker | Cohort | Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | NPV | +LR | −LR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
uCD163<370 ng/mmol | Training cohort | 0.90 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 0.90 | 6.95 | 0.12 |
Validation cohort | 0.87 | 0.89 | 0.91 | 0.84 | 7.82 | 0.15 | |
uPCR<0.5 g/g | Training cohort | 0.52 | 0.97 | 0.94 | 0.68 | 16.0 | 0.22 |
Validation cohort | 0.48 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.60 | a | 0.52 | |
uPCR<1.5 g/g | Training cohort | 0.86 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.86 | 4.45 | 0.17 |
Validation cohort | 0.87 | 0.89 | 0.91 | 0.84 | 7.82 | 0.15 | |
25% uPCR reduction | Training cohort | 0.86 | 0.65 | 0.69 | 0.83 | 2.43 | 0.21 |
Validation cohort | 0.87 | 0.56 | 0.71 | 0.77 | 1.96 | 0.23 | |
Anti-dsDNA antibody disappearance | Training cohort | 0.66 | 0.48 | 0.54 | 0.60 | 1.27 | 0.71 |
Validation cohort | 0.70 | 0.56 | 0.67 | 0.59 | 1.57 | 0.55 | |
25% anti-dsDNA antibody reductionb | Training cohort | 0.83 | 0.45 | 0.59 | 0.74 | 1.51 | 0.38 |
Validation cohort | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
C3 normalization | Training cohort | 0.76 | 0.55 | 0.61 | 0.71 | 1.68 | 0.44 |
Validation cohort | 0.70 | 0.67 | 0.73 | 0.63 | 2.09 | 0.46 | |
25% C3 increase | Training cohort | 0.76 | 0.68 | 0.69 | 0.75 | 2.35 | 0.36 |
Validation cohort | 0.65 | 0.72 | 0.75 | 0.62 | 2.35 | 0.48 |
PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value; +LR, positive likelihood ratio; −LR, negative likelihood ratio.
The denominator is zero.
Anti-dsDNA antibody values were only available as positive/negative from the validation cohort.