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. 2020 Jun 4;138:109964. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109964

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2

Dependence of the mean of the accumulated number of players that have been infected after the re-start of the competition n¯(t) on the main parameters of the system: the days between matches (Nmatch) (A) and the days between PCR tests (Ntest) and their sensitivity (μI) (B-D). We simulated 104 times the rest of the season, that consists of 11 matches and the training days in between. Parameters of the simulation are indicated in Table 1, with μI=0.9, unless specified otherwise. The seed of all simulations contained one player infected at the first day of the tournament. (A) Influence of the number of days between two consecutive matches, Nmatch, on n¯(t). In this simulation, PCR tests with 90% sensitivity were carried out every Ntest=7 days. In (B) we compare the outcome of not doing any tests during the rest of the season and doing them every Ntest=7 days (matches played every 7 days), while in (C) we focus on the number of days Ntest between each PCR control (matches played every 4 days, closer to the optimum frequency of 1 every 3 days). (D) Influence of test accuracy μI on n¯(t) (PCR tests and matches carried out every 4 days).