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. 2020 Mar 31;5:316–322. doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2020.03.004

Fig. 3.

Fig. 3

Predictions of the epidemic trend in Canada from March 21st: scenario with the estimated current growth rate of 0.25 (fitted between March 13th and 21st), and the growth rate of 0.1 estimated from Italy after closure of all non-essential activities. The projection for hospitalization numbers is based on the Italian data (daily hospitalizations are about 40% of the total number of detections).