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. 2020 May 27;6(22):eaaz4037. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aaz4037

Fig. 5. Estimated negative impact of measles parties and positive impact of vaccination campaigns.

Fig. 5

Top row: Simulated estimates of monthly incidence, should there be no measles parties, for all ages (A), <1-year-olds (B), 1- to 4-year-olds (C), 5- to 17-year-olds (D), and 18+-year-olds (E). Bottom row: Simulated estimates of monthly incidence, should there be no vaccination campaigns, for all ages (F), <1-year-olds (G), 1- to 4-year-olds (H), 5- to 17-year-olds (I), and 18+-year-olds (J). Results are pooled over 10,000 model simulations. Horizontal thick lines show the median of model estimates; box edges show the 25th and 75th percentiles; whiskers show the 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles; and dots show outliers. For comparison, stars (*) in (A) and (F) show monthly incidence for all ages, reported as of 6 August 2019; crosses (×) in (B) to (E) and (G) to (J) show age-grouped monthly incidence estimated from health reports.