Table 2.
Country | 1990Rate (95% UI) | 2005 Rate (95% UI) | 2010 Rate (95% UI) | 2017Rate (95% UI) | 2017 Expected | O/E |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Angola | 1.7 (1.0–3.9) | 56.7(41.6–75.4) | 73.4(56.7–95.1) | 68.0 (53.3–86.9) | 4.7 | 14.6 |
Botswana | 168.9(89.0–296.6) | 979.2(777.2–1204.9) | 558.1(477.4–669.5) | 187.6(248.7–145.6) | 1.7 | 111.1 |
Comoros | 0.0 (0.00–0.1) | 0.2 (0.0–1.0) | 0.2(0.0–1.6) | 0.3 (0.0–2.0) | 5.2 | 0.1 |
DRC | 66.7(46.1–93.6) | 99.5(80.9–120.8) | 78.7(66.5–92.7) | 23.2 (18.7–28.5) | 6.8 | 3.4 |
Lesotho | 47.4(27.2–80.8) | 1037.5(821.1–1273.6) | 729.8(631.0–879.6) | 336.6(296.7–395.8) | 3.9 | 85.3 |
Madagascar | 0.0 (0.0–0.0) | 15.1(10.6–21.2) | 16.9(13.8–20.6) | 12.1 (9.7–17.2) | 7.4 | 1.6 |
Malawi | 186.3(110.1–306.0) | 907.1 (753.5–1071.0) | 534.3(478.2–609.7) | 141.6(124.0–162.8) | 7.1 | 20.1 |
Mauritius | 1.3 (1.2–1.3) | 1.6(1.5–1.7) | 4.7(4.4–5.0) | 6.4 (6.1–6.8) | 1.3 | 5.0 |
Mozambique | 22.2 (13.9–37.3) | 491.1(390.9–605.9) | 479.8(400.4–586.0) | 226.8(191.9–280.5) | 7.2 | 31.4 |
Namibia | 67.5 (35.0–147.5) | 696.3 (550.6–862.1) | 462.7(386.8–559.5) | 184.7(140.7–244.6) | 2.1 | 86.2 |
Seychelles | 0.6(0.4–1.1) | 5.3 (5.1–5.5) | 5.0(4.8–5.3) | 5.0(4.5–5.6) | – | – |
South Africa | 2.1(1.6–2.8) | 644.0(568.0–732.1) | 599.9(544.6–668.1) | 238.7(211.5–273.0) | 1.6 | 147.7 |
eSwatini | 2.7(1.7–6.8) | 1172.4(923.0–1454.8) | 1016.8(850.6–1231.1) | 245.9(222.0–280.6) | 2.6 | 96.4 |
Tanzania | 163.7(106.6–248.6) | 427.7 (349.4–516.8) | 272.8(224.9–325.8) | 63.3(51.3–79.1) | 5.7 | 11.0 |
Zambia | 242.1(144.0–398.3) | 747.2 (630.7–886.0) | 408.4(365.8–477.2) | 137.8(121.9–158.2) | 4.4 | 31.0 |
Zimbabwe | 293.6(167.2–524.2) | 1145.1(908.3–1420.0) | 680.6(557.3–816.5) | 130.4(113.0–160.8) | 4.5 | 28.7 |
Worldwide | 6.6(5.9–7.4) | 29.2(28.0–30.5) | 23.0 (22.0–24.0) | 12.1(11.5–12.9) | – | – |
UI Uncertainty Interval, DRC Democratic People’s Republic of Congo, O/E Observed/Expected