Figure - PMC

Skip to main content

An official website of the United States government

Here's how you know

Here's how you know

Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.

Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.

View full-text article in PMC

. 2020 May 29;8:256. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2020.00256

Search in PMC
Search in PubMed
View in NLM Catalog
Add to search

Copyright © 2020 Dropkin.

This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

PMC Copyright notice

Assumes a transmission scenario T2 as indicated in (A) by the green band. It compares the forecasts for (A) all cases, (B) severe and (C) critical cases, and (D) deaths. ONS data up to 24 April is also shown in (D). The curves compare the impact of lockdown start dates 24 March (solid), 21 March (dashed), and 17 March (dotdash). The vertical distance between the solid curve at 16 June and the dotdash curve at 9 June, is the estimated excess caused by delaying the lockdown for 1 week, shown by the green vertical bar.