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[Preprint]. 2020 Mar 30:2020.03.26.20044693. [Version 1] doi: 10.1101/2020.03.26.20044693

FIG. 2. Individual mortality ratio.

FIG. 2.

(a) Recovery time after first symptoms occurred based on individual data of 17 patients [16]. (b) Death- and recovery rates as defined in Eq. (4). The death rate μ(τ1) approaches μ1 for τ1 > τinc, where τinc is the incubation period and τ1 is the time the patient has been infected before first being tested positive. (c) The individual mortality ratio M1(t|τ1) for τinc = 6.4 days at different values of τ1. Note that the individual death probability Pd(t|τ1) and M1(t|τ1) are nonzero only after t > τincτ1. (d) The asymptotic individual mortality ratio M1(∞) (see Eq. (3)) as a function of τ1.