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[Preprint]. 2020 Mar 30:2020.03.26.20044750. [Version 1] doi: 10.1101/2020.03.26.20044750

Table A.4.

Estimated symptom, shedding rates, and return rates for symptomatic persons infected with SARS-CoV-2. Asymptomatic infections are accounted for through a separate parameter. Return rates calculated for when attention is focused on fever, symptom propensity rate is l = 0.88 and symptom attention is y = 0.5. Return rates: A = no policy, B = policy of one day of isolation with 0.5 compliance, C = policy of one day of isolation with 100% compliance. Rows are days from the time of infection.

Symptoms Return
Day after infection Viral Shedding Fever (Systemic) A B C
1 0.000 0 1.00 1.00 1.00
2 0.250 0 1.00 1.00 1.00
3 0.500 0.176 1.00 1.00 1.00
4 0.750 0.352 0.87 0.86 0.85
5 1.000 0.528 0.74 0.72 0.69
6 0.845 0.704 0.61 0.57 0.54
7 0.721 0.880 0.48 0.43 0.38
8 0.611 0.860 0.36 0.29 0.23
9 0.540 0.840 0.37 0.31 0.24
10 0.473 0.820 0.39 0.32 0.26
11 0.427 0.800 0.40 0.34 0.28
12 0.400 0.780 0.41 0.36 0.30
13 0.379 0.760 0.43 0.37 0.31
14 0.351 0.660 0.44 0.39 0.33
15 0.318 0.550 0.52 0.47 0.42
16 0.287 0.440 0.60 0.56 0.52
17 0.244 0.330 0.68 0.65 0.61
18 0.207 0.220 0.76 0.73 0.71
19 0.177 0.110 0.84 0.82 0.81
20 0.139 0 0.92 0.91 0.90
21 0.112 0 1.00 1.00 1.00
22 0.095 0 1.00 1.00 1.00
23 0.082 0 1.00 1.00 1.00
24 0.077 0 1.00 1.00 1.00
25 0.070 0 1.00 1.00 1.00
26 0.067 0 1.00 1.00 1.00
27 0.056 0 1.00 1.00 1.00
28 0.044 0 1.00 1.00 1.00
29 0.033 0 1.00 1.00 1.00
30 0.022 0 1.00 1.00 1.00
31 0.011 0 1.00 1.00 1.00
32 0.000 0 1.00 1.00 1.00