Cumulative change in tuberculosis (TB) a–c) incidence and d–f) deaths over 5 years as a result of social and/or health system disruption due to the coronavirus 2019 pandemic for a, d) China, b, e) India and c, f) South Africa. Results show the median of model runs, while whiskers denote the range of run results. Small black crosses indicate author assessment of most plausible scenarios based on current anecdotal information. Note y-axis scales differ by country and indicator.