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. 2020 Jun 8;41(22):2092–2112. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehaa462

Table 4.

Summary of studies assessing prognostic factors of mortality and complications in COVID-19

Study Sample size Endpoint/s Risk factors Protective factors
Zhou et al.13 191 In-hospital death Older age, higher SOFA score, and high D-dimer greater on admission
Wang et al.14 138 ICU admission Older age, comorbidities, dyspnoea
Yang et al.100 52, all admitted to ICU In-hospital death Older age, ARDS, mechanical ventilation
Zhang et al.56 645 Severe/critical COVID-19 categories Myalgia, dyspnoea, nausea and vomiting, lymphocytopenia, higher creatinine and number of lobes radiologically involved at admission
Shi et al.54 416 Cardiac injury (associated with higher in-hospital death) Older age, more comorbidities, higher leucocyte counts, higher levels of C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, CK-MB, myohaemoglobin, high-sensitivity troponin I, NT-pro-BNP, AST, and creatinine, and higher proportion of multiple mottling and ground-glass opacity
Wu et al.35 201 ARDS and progression to death in patients with ARDS ARDS: older age, high fever, comorbidities, neutrophilia, lymphocytopenia (as well as lower CD3 and CD4 T-cell counts), elevated end-organ-related indices (e.g. AST, urea, LDH), elevated inflammation-related indices (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and serum ferritin), and elevated coagulation function-related indicators (prothrombin time and D-dimer).Death in ARDS: older age, lower proportion of high fever, hypertension, neutrophilia, elevated bilirubin, urea, LDH, D-dimer, cystatin C, and IL-6. Death in ARDS: high fever, treatment with methylprednisolone and antivirals.
Huang et al.101 41 ICU admission Dyspnoea, neutrophilia, lymphocytopenia, enlarged prothrombin time, elevated D-dimer, transaminases, bilirubin, troponin I, IL-2, IL-7, IL-10, GSCF, IP10, MCP1, MIP1A, and TNFα, and lower albumin High fever
Liu et al.102 78 Clinical deterioration, and likeliness of high-level respiratory support Older age, history of smoking, high fever, respiratory failure, low albumin, high C-reactive protein
Sun et al.103 600 Progression to critical condition Older age, lymphocytopenia, oxygen supplementation and multiple/extensive pulmonary radiographic infiltrations
Mo et al.104 155 Refractory pneumonia* Male sex, anorexia, and high fever at admission, receiving oxygen, expectorants, corticosteroids, lopinavir/ritonavir, immune enhancer (thymalfasin, immunoglobulins)
Wang et al.105 68 SpO2 <90% (related to death) Older age, comorbidities, elevated IL-6, IL-10, LDH, and C-reactive protein
*

Defined as those cases not fulfilling all the following: (i) obvious alleviation of respiratory symptoms (e.g. cough, chest distress. and shortness of breath) after treatment; (ii) maintenance of normal body temperature for ≥3 days without the use of corticosteroids or antipyretics; (iii) improvement in radiological abnormalities on chest CT or X-ray after treatment; and (iv) a hospital stay of ≤10 days.