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. 2020 Jun 8;180(7):973–983. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2020.1611

Table 3. Associations Between Screening and Subsequent Specialist Visits, Diagnostic Tests, and Procedures by Low-Value Screening Test.

Outcome Outcome observation window, d Exposure Risk, % RD (95% CI)a RR (95% CI)a AFe, %b
Chest radiograph cohort (n = 21 766 matched pairs)
Outpatient pulmonology visit 90 Screened 1.39 0.87 (0.69-1.05) 2.67 (2.16-3.31) 62.6
Not screened 0.52 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] NA
Bronchoscopy 90 Screened 0.16 0.14 (0.08-0.19) 8.50 (3.02-23.95) 87.5
Not screened 0.02 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] NA
Abdominal or thoracic CT scan 90 Screened 2.88 1.96 (1.71-2.22) 3.14 (2.67-3.67) 68.1
Not screened 0.92 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] NA
ECG cohort (n = 122 843 matched pairs)
Outpatient cardiology visit 90 Screened 2.70 1.92 (1.82-2.02) 3.48 (3.24-3.74) 71.1
Not screened 0.77 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] NA
TTE 90 Screened 7.12 5.49 (5.33-5.65) 4.35 (4.15-4.57) 77.1
Not screened 1.64 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] NA
Cardiac stress test 90 Screened 5.84 4.46 (4.31-4.61) 4.24 (4.02-4.46) 76.4
Not screened 1.38 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] NA
Cardiac catheterization 90 Screened 0.24 0.15 (0.12-0.18) 2.64 (2.12-3.28) 62.5
Not screened 0.09 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] NA
Papanicolaou test cohort (n = 14 597 matched pairs)
Outpatient gynecology visit 180 Screened 5.07 1.31 (0.84-1.78) 1.35 (1.21-1.50) 25.8
Not screened 3.76 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] NA
Follow-up Papanicolaou test 180 Screened 56.22 52.78 (51.92-53.63) 16.35 (14.98-17.83) 94.0
Not screened 3.44 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] NA
Colposcopy 180 Screened 1.03 0.84 (0.66-1.01) 5.36 (3.58-8.02) 81.6
Not screened 0.19 1 [Reference] 1 [Reference] NA

Abbreviations: AFe, attributable fraction among the exposed; CT, computed tomography; ECG, electrocardiogram; NA, not applicable; RD, risk difference; RR, relative risk; TTE, transthoracic echocardiogram.

a

Risks (cumulative incidences expressed as percentages) were not rounded before calculating these values.

b

AFe, % = (RD/risk in No. screened) × 100. The value was calculated based on rounding the numerator and denominator values in this table. AFe was not reported if 95% CIs for RD contain the null value (ie, zero).