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. 2020 Jun 9;138:109911. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109911

Table 1.

Preferred form of the Nine Curve Estimation models with OLS estimator: COVID-19 Confirmed Cases.

Models Form Adj. R2 DW-test
SW-test
Value P-value Value P-value
Linear Quartic 0.9949 0.3204 4.783e-013*** 0.9695 0.1137
Logarithm Simple+ 0.3448 0.0312 1.798e-018*** 0.7721 1.37e-008***
Inverse Quartic 0.4137 0.112 1.798e-018*** 0.8302 4.32e-007***
Power Simple+ 0.7876 0.0848 1.798e-018*** 0.9156 0.0003***
Compound Quartic 0.9891 0.3768 5.459e-013*** 0.9087 0.0002***
S-Curve Quartic 0.9318 0.526 1.798e-010*** 0.9271 0.001***
Growth Quartic 0.9891 0.3768 5.459e-013*** 0.9087 0.0002***
Exponential Quartic 0.9891 0.3768 5.459e-013*** 0.9087 0.0002***
Logistic (u=2000) Quartic 0.9901 0.5327 1.798e-010*** 0.9097 0.0002***

NOTE: (i) Bold implies most preferred of the nine models.

(ii) + implies exact multicollinearity made other forms of the variable to be omitted.

(iii) The maximum COVID-19 confirmed cases for the period of study was1932.