Table 1.
Models | Form | Adj. R2 | DW-test |
SW-test |
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Value | P-value | Value | P-value | |||
Linear | Quartic | 0.9949 | 0.3204 | 4.783e-013*** | 0.9695 | 0.1137 |
Logarithm | Simple+ | 0.3448 | 0.0312 | 1.798e-018*** | 0.7721 | 1.37e-008*** |
Inverse | Quartic | 0.4137 | 0.112 | 1.798e-018*** | 0.8302 | 4.32e-007*** |
Power | Simple+ | 0.7876 | 0.0848 | 1.798e-018*** | 0.9156 | 0.0003*** |
Compound | Quartic | 0.9891 | 0.3768 | 5.459e-013*** | 0.9087 | 0.0002*** |
S-Curve | Quartic | 0.9318 | 0.526 | 1.798e-010*** | 0.9271 | 0.001*** |
Growth | Quartic | 0.9891 | 0.3768 | 5.459e-013*** | 0.9087 | 0.0002*** |
Exponential | Quartic | 0.9891 | 0.3768 | 5.459e-013*** | 0.9087 | 0.0002*** |
Logistic (u=2000) | Quartic | 0.9901 | 0.5327 | 1.798e-010*** | 0.9097 | 0.0002*** |
NOTE: (i) Bold implies most preferred of the nine models.
(ii) + implies exact multicollinearity made other forms of the variable to be omitted.
(iii) The maximum COVID-19 confirmed cases for the period of study was1932.