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. 2020 Jun 9;138:109911. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109911

Table 3.

Results of Preferred Model with OLS estimator in each of the Nine Curve Estimation models: COVID-19 Discharged Cases.

Models Form Adj.R2 DW-test
SW-test
Value P-value Value P-value
Linear Quartic 0.9925 0.6965 4.69e-009 *** 0.9724 0.3819
Logarithm Simple+ 0.5613 0.0656 7.029e-01*** 0.8965 0.001***
Inverse Quartic 0.7682 0.3143 1.798e-010*** 0.9733 0.4078
Power Simple+ 0.8857 0.2762 3.954e-012*** 0.8803 0.0003***
Compound Quartic 0.9918 1.448 0.005*** 0.9503 0.0613*
S-Curve Quartic 0.9826 1.172 0.0007*** 0.9128 0.0031***
Growth Quartic 0.9918 1.4478 0.005*** 0.0613 0.0613*
Exponential Quartic 0.9918 1.4478 0.005*** 0.0613 0.0613*
Logistic(u=350) Quartic 0.9916 1.3065 0.0010*** 0.9694 0.3003

NOTE: (i) Bold implies most preferred of the nine models.

(ii) + implies exalt multicollinearity made other forms of the variable to be omitted.

(iii) The maximum COVID-19 discharged cases for the period of study was 319.