Table 5.
Models | Form | Adj. R2 | DW-test |
SW- test |
||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Value | P-value | Value | P-value | |||
Linear | Quartic | 0.9953 | 1.3563 | 0.0021*** | 0.9581 | 0.153984 |
Logarithm | Simple+ | 0.4988 | 0.0703 | 3.63e-011*** | 0.8552 | 0.0001*** |
Inverse | Quartic | 0.6856 | 0.2494 | 1.798e-015*** | 0.9449 | 0.0553* |
Power | Simple+ | 0.842 | 0.2441 | 1.798e-015*** | 0.945971 | 0.0602* |
Compound | Quartic | 0.9896 | 1.6627 | 0.0345106** | 0.97267 | 0.4513 |
S-Curve | Quartic | 0.9518 | 0.6449 | 7.704e-008*** | 0.9751 | 0.5301 |
Growth | Quartic | 0.9896 | 1.6627 | 0.0345106** | 0.97267 | 0.4513 |
Exponential | Quartic | 0.9896 | 1.6627 | 0.0345106** | 0.97267 | 0.4513 |
Logistic(u=60) | Quartic | 0.9824 | 1.2658 | 0.00074*** | 0.941344 | 0.0422** |
NOTE: (i) Bold implies most preferred of the nine models.
(ii) + implies exact multicollinearity made other forms of the variable to be omitted.
(iii) The cumulative death cases recorded within the period was 58.