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. 2020 Jun 9;138:109911. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109911

Table 5.

Results of Preferred Model with OLS estimator in each of the Nine Curve Estimation models: COVID-19 Death Cases.

Models Form Adj. R2 DW-test
SW- test
Value P-value Value P-value
Linear Quartic 0.9953 1.3563 0.0021*** 0.9581 0.153984
Logarithm Simple+ 0.4988 0.0703 3.63e-011*** 0.8552 0.0001***
Inverse Quartic 0.6856 0.2494 1.798e-015*** 0.9449 0.0553*
Power Simple+ 0.842 0.2441 1.798e-015*** 0.945971 0.0602*
Compound Quartic 0.9896 1.6627 0.0345106** 0.97267 0.4513
S-Curve Quartic 0.9518 0.6449 7.704e-008*** 0.9751 0.5301
Growth Quartic 0.9896 1.6627 0.0345106** 0.97267 0.4513
Exponential Quartic 0.9896 1.6627 0.0345106** 0.97267 0.4513
Logistic(u=60) Quartic 0.9824 1.2658 0.00074*** 0.941344 0.0422**

NOTE: (i) Bold implies most preferred of the nine models.

(ii) + implies exact multicollinearity made other forms of the variable to be omitted.

(iii) The cumulative death cases recorded within the period was 58.