Skip to main content
. 2020 Jun 10;71:100898. doi: 10.1016/j.seps.2020.100898

Table 2.

Quarterly model effects: global and regional GDP (percentage change).

Region
Quarter
2020:1 2020:2 2020:3 2020:4 2021:1 2021:2 2021:3 2021:4
World −0.80 −2.97 −2.23 −1.54 0.39 0.96 0.98 0.81
Australia −0.57 −2.51 −2.03 −1.38 0.41 0.98 1.00 0.77
Rest of Oceania −0.54 −2.27 −1.85 −1.35 0.26 0.82 0.82 0.73
China −1.51 −5.68 −4.58 −3.59 0.36 1.95 2.18 1.79
Japan −0.84 −2.59 −1.90 −1.21 0.53 0.99 0.96 0.75
Korea −1.13 −3.62 −2.83 −2.00 0.27 1.16 1.39 1.26
India −0.09 −0.74 −0.56 −0.31 0.31 0.42 0.41 0.35
Indonesia −0.70 −2.50 −1.94 −1.41 0.25 0.93 1.10 1.02
Singapore −2.40 −7.35 −5.84 −4.52 −0.31 1.84 2.60 2.53
Rest of Asia −0.65 −3.22 −2.53 −1.87 0.02 0.66 0.95 0.85
Canada −0.76 −3.19 −2.33 −1.69 0.42 1.07 0.99 0.79
United States −0.52 −1.86 −1.24 −0.64 0.48 0.52 0.40 0.32
Mexico −0.08 −0.50 −0.31 −0.15 0.23 0.37 0.37 0.34
Argentina −0.57 −2.24 −1.75 −1.25 0.12 0.63 0.75 0.62
Brazil −0.25 −1.07 −0.71 −0.50 0.28 0.50 0.47 0.45
Rest of South America −0.42 −1.99 −1.49 −1.04 0.30 0.69 0.71 0.56
France −1.01 −3.83 −2.78 −1.91 0.60 1.30 1.25 0.96
Germany −1.06 −3.92 −2.85 −1.96 0.50 1.26 1.29 1.04
Italy −0.54 −2.21 −1.73 −1.26 0.23 0.70 0.77 0.64
Great Britain −1.21 −4.40 −3.28 −2.29 0.63 1.52 1.49 1.16
Rest of EU −1.38 −5.07 −4.06 −3.16 0.13 1.46 1.70 1.41
Rest Europe −0.84 −3.07 −2.26 −1.50 0.39 0.96 1.07 0.92
Russia −0.46 −2.05 −1.71 −1.31 0.05 0.65 0.89 0.90
Former Soviet Union −0.60 −2.68 −2.18 −1.62 0.10 0.70 0.84 0.75
Turkey −0.10 −0.74 −0.59 −0.38 0.04 0.16 0.27 0.30
Rest of Middle East −0.26 −1.45 −1.08 −0.71 0.31 0.55 0.55 0.51
South Africa −0.51 −2.13 −1.56 −1.12 0.26 0.71 0.70 0.60
Rest of Africa −0.41 −2.37 −1.87 −1.48 0.13 0.67 0.65 0.52