Table 2:

Aggregate Number of Estimated New HIV Infections and Deaths among PWID over 10 years Without Scale-up of Opioid Agonist Therapies

Region	New Infections	New Deaths
Dnipro	11,032 (9,745, 13,180)	34,943 (30,538, 39,600)
Odesa	6,912 (4,485, 12,127)	26,052 (15,257, 37,954)
Kyiv (city)	5,434 (4,289, 6,225)	20,289 (13,661, 28,199)
Kharkiv	2,490 (1,353, 3,110)	8,809 (3,577, 15,890)
Sumy	1,113 (651, 1,320)	4,579 (1,956, 8,183)
Zaporizhia	2,710 (1,485, 3,815)	9,794 (5,317, 14,816)
Mykolaiv	2,589 (1,578, 3,179)	8,761 (6,619, 11,278)
Cherkasy	2,262 (1,137, 2,850)	6,297 (2,987, 12,284)
Lviv	2,127 (1,161, 2,657)	12,510 (7,121, 18,228)
Kherson	1,711 (1,058, 2,345)	7,731 (4,590, 11,035)
Kirovohrad	2,231 (1,660, 2,652)	3,492 (1,187, 6,904)
Khmelnytskyi	460 (324, 569)	6,248 (3,698, 9,380)
Poltava	3,043 (2,118, 3,594)	5,458 (3,390, 7,953)
Kyiv (Region)	6,305 (3,167, 7,688)	6,236 (3,325, 10,661)
Chernihiv	2,923 (2,013, 3,363)	2,976 (656, 6,746)
Volyn	582 (347, 1,190)	4,829 (3,495, 6,330)
Vinnytsia	751 (526, 924)	1,253 (250, 3,414)
Rivne	645 (318, 856)	2,431 (781, 5,780)
Ternopil	154 (112, 198)	6,349 (3,449, 8,884)
Ivano-Frankivsk	458 (207, 592)	4,095 (2,000, 6,628)
Chernivtsi	257 (145, 358)	2,391 (341, 6,123)
Zhytomyr	2,502 (1,208, 3,026)	3,133 (1,714, 4,748)
Zakarpattia	129 (89, 195)	2,667 (954, 4,782)
Total	58,820 (47,968, 65,535)	191,330 (131,321, 270,605)

Note: Results are based on Means of 1,000 simulated runs, with 95% Confidence Interval reported in parentheses