Table 1. Findings and interpretations regarding peaks of relapses after breast cancer surgery.
| Finding | Interpretation | |
|---|---|---|
| Results of computer simulation | Early (dominant) peak composed of two previously unreported surgery-induced relapse modes at 10 months and at 30 months. |
Concordant with the clinical observations. |
| 10-month peak | 20% of premenopausal node-positive patients undergo this relapse mode. It is 5:1 node-positive to node-negative and 2:1 pre- compared to postmenopausal. |
Avascular micrometastases induced to vascularise and relapse appears at 10 months. |
| 30-month peak | Together the two surgery induced relapse modes comprise 50% to 80% of relapses (increasing with tumour size and nodes positive). | Previously inactive single cells are induced to divide and then stochastically vascularise with relapse peak at 30 months. |
| Late shallow peak (50–200 months) |
The ‘natural history’ of breast cancer. | The benefit of surgery to reduce metastases first appears at 5 years. |