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. 2020 Jun 15;8(8):e1003–e1017. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30264-3

Table 1.

Number of individuals in millions at increased risk of severe COVID-19 illness by age, number of conditions, region, and age threshold

Africa (n=1338·8 million) Asia (n=4632·9 million) Europe (n=747·1 million) Latin America and the Caribbean (n=652·2 million) Northern America (n=368·7 million) Oceania (n=41·9 million) Global (n=7781·7 million)
Population by number of conditions
No conditions
<15 years 519·2 (39%) 1042·4 (22%) 117·2 (16%) 151·6 (23%) 65·0 (18%) 9·5 (23%) 1905·0 (24%)
15–49 years 533·6 (40%) 1985·9 (43%) 274·3 (37%) 291·6 (45%) 146·6 (40%) 16·7 (40%) 3248·8 (42%)
50–54 years 24·8 (2%) 184·3 (4%) 33·4 (4%) 22·9 (4%) 14·5 (4%) 1·5 (4%) 281·5 (4%)
55–59 years 17·6 (1%) 136·9 (3%) 29·4 (4%) 18·0 (3%) 12·9 (3%) 1·3 (3%) 216·1 (3%)
60–64 years 11·6 (<1%) 95·8 (2%) 22·6 (3%) 12·5 (2%) 10·0 (3%) 1·0 (2%) 153·6 (2%)
65–69 years 7·0 (<1%) 69·5 (1%) 16·0 (2%) 8·3 (1%) 6·7 (2%) 0·7 (2%) 108·2 (1%)
≥70 years 6·6 (<1%) 73·8 (2%) 23·2 (3%) 9·9 (2%) 8·5 (2%) 1·0 (2%) 122·9 (2%)
All ages 1120·5 (84%) 3588·5 (77%) 516·1 (69%) 514·8 (79%) 264·4 (72%) 31·8 (76%) 6036·0 (78%)
One condition only
<15 years 19·9 (1%) 43·5 (<1%) 2·7 (<1%) 4·0 (<1%) 1·6 (<1%) 0·3 (<1%) 71·9 (<1%)
15–49 years 100·8 (8%) 367·6 (8%) 49·1 (7%) 45·1 (7%) 19·7 (5%) 2·9 (7%) 585·2 (8%)
50–54 years 13·4 (1%) 82·3 (2%) 14·1 (2%) 10·3 (2%) 6·6 (2%) 0·6 (1%) 127·3 (2%)
55–59 years 12·2 (<1%) 77·4 (2%) 17·3 (2%) 10·4 (2%) 8·4 (2%) 0·7 (2%) 126·4 (2%)
60–64 years 10·5 (<1%) 68·6 (1%) 18·3 (2%) 9·5 (1%) 9·2 (3%) 0·7 (2%) 116·8 (2%)
65–69 years 8·3 (<1%) 61·2 (1%) 17·5 (2%) 8·1 (1%) 8·6 (2%) 0·6 (2%) 104·3 (1%)
≥70 years 11·3 (<1%) 92·1 (2%) 39·4 (5%) 14·5 (2%) 17·4 (5%) 1·4 (3%) 176·1 (2%)
All ages 176·4 (13%) 792·6 (17%) 158·4 (21%) 102·0 (16%) 71·6 (19%) 7·3 (17%) 1308·2 (17%)
Multiple (two or more) conditions
<15 years 1·3 (<1%) 2·8 (<1%) 0·2 (<1%) 0·3 (<1%) 0·1 (<1%) 0·0 (<1%) 4·6 (<1%)
15–49 years 14·1 (1%) 55·1 (1%) 7·9 (1%) 6·9 (1%) 3·2 (<1%) 0·4 (1%) 87·7 (1%)
50–54 years 3·8 (<1%) 23·3 (<1%) 4·0 (<1%) 2·9 (<1%) 1·9 (<1%) 0·2 (<1%) 36·0 (<1%)
55–59 years 4·3 (<1%) 27·1 (<1%) 6·0 (<1%) 3·7 (<1%) 3·0 (<1%) 0·2 (<1%) 44·3 (<1%)
60–64 years 4·6 (<1%) 29·8 (<1%) 8·0 (1%) 4·1 (<1%) 4·0 (1%) 0·3 (<1%) 50·8 (<1%)
65–69 years 4·5 (<1%) 33·1 (<1%) 9·5 (1%) 4·4 (<1%) 4·6 (1%) 0·3 (<1%) 56·4 (<1%)
≥70 years 9·3 (<1%) 80·6 (2%) 37·1 (5%) 13·2 (2%) 16·0 (4%) 1·3 (3%) 157·6 (2%)
All ages 41·9 (3%) 251·8 (5%) 72·7 (10%) 35·5 (5%) 32·8 (9%) 2·8 (7%) 437·4 (6%)
Population at increased risk of severe COVID-19
People with at least one condition (all ages), assuming no age-based threshold 218·3 (16%) 1044·4 (23%) 231·0 (31%) 137·4 (21%) 104·4 (28%) 10·1 (24%) 1745·6 (22%)
Older people with no conditions*
≥50 years 67·7 (5%) 560·3 (12%) 124·6 (17%) 71·5 (11%) 52·7 (14%) 5·5 (13%) 882·3 (11%)
≥55 years 42·9 (3%) 375·9 (8%) 91·2 (12%) 48·7 (7%) 38·2 (10%) 4·0 (9%) 600·8 (8%)
≥60 years 25·2 (2%) 239·1 (5%) 61·8 (8%) 30·7 (5%) 25·3 (7%) 2·6 (6%) 384·8 (5%)
≥65 years 13·6 (1%) 143·2 (3%) 39·3 (5%) 18·2 (3%) 15·3 (4%) 1·6 (4%) 231·2 (3%)
≥70 years 6·6 (<1%) 73·8 (2%) 23·2 (3%) 9·9 (2%) 8·5 (2%) 1·0 (2%) 122·9 (2%)
People with at least one condition plus older people with no conditions*
≥50 years 286·0 (21%) 1604·7 (35%) 355·7 (48%) 209·0 (32%) 157·1 (43%) 15·6 (37%) 2627·9 (34%)
≥55 years 261·2 (20%) 1420·4 (31%) 322·3 (43%) 186·1 (29%) 142·6 (39%) 14·0 (34%) 2346·5 (30%)
≥60 years 243·5 (18%) 1283·5 (28%) 292·8 (39%) 168·1 (26%) 129·7 (35%) 12·7 (30%) 2130·4 (27%)
≥65 years 231·9 (17%) 1187·7 (26%) 270·3 (36%) 155·6 (24%) 119·7 (32%) 11·7 (28%) 1976·8 (25%)
≥70 years 224·9 (17%) 1118·2 (24%) 254·2 (34%) 147·3 (23%) 112·9 (31%) 11·0 (26%) 1868·6 (24%)

Data are number of individuals in millions (percentage of total population of the region).

*

Older people with no conditions could be considered at increased risk by virtue of age alone.