Possible scenarios | Applicable response phases | Border control | Public health measures | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Temperature screening in institutions | Social distancing | School closures | Contact tracing | Phone surveillance or quarantine | Antivirals | Vaccination | |||
Green (negligible to low public health impact) | |||||||||
High virulence No or limited human‐to‐human transmission Disease mainly overseas |
Alert with containment of imported cases | HAN | No | No | No | Yes, if imported cases | To implement depending on risk | Treatment of cases where necessary | No |
Similar or lower virulence and transmissibility as seasonal influenza | Mitigation | No | Consider for implementation | No | No | No | No | Treatment of cases where necessary | Vaccination for high risk groups if available |
Yellow (low to moderate public health impact) | |||||||||
High virulence but low transmissibility Disease mainly overseas |
Alert with containment of imported cases |
HAN HDC Temperature screening of inbound passengers |
No | No | No | Yes, if imported cases | To implement depending on risk | Treatment of cases where necessary | Procure and offer vaccines when available |
Local epidemic with low virulence but high transmissibility | Mitigation | HAN | Consider for implementation | No | No | No | No | Treatment of cases where necessary | Procure and offer vaccines when available |
High virulence and transmissibility but vaccine available | Mitigation | HAN | No | No | No | No | No | Treatment of cases where necessary | Distribute vaccine to mitigate impact |
Orange (moderate to high public health impact) | |||||||||
High virulence and transmissibility Disease mainly overseas |
Alert |
HAN HDC Temperature screening of inbound passengers |
No | No | No | Yes, if imported cases | Quarantine | Treatment of cases, consider limited prophylaxis of personnel providing essential services | Procure and offer vaccines when available |
High virulence and transmissibility Disease in Singapore |
Containment |
HAN HDC Temperature screening of inbound passengers |
Yes, depending on risk | Yes, depending on risk | Yes, selective closure if cases or clusters detected in schools | Yes, as far as operationally feasible | Quarantine, as far as operationally feasible | Treatment of cases, consider limited prophylaxis of personnel providing essential services | Procure and offer vaccines when available |
High virulence and transmissibility More cases in Singapore |
Limited mitigation |
HAN HDC Temperature screening of all passengers |
Yes, depending on risk | Yes, depending on risk | Yes, selective closure if cases or clusters detected in schools | No | No | Treatment of cases, consider limited prophylaxis of personnel providing essential services | Procure and offer vaccines when available |
Red (high public health impact, widespread local transmission) | |||||||||
High virulence and transmissibility Widespread transmission |
Mitigation | Temperature screening of all passengers | Yes | Yes | Yes | No | No | Treatment of cases and prophylaxis of personnel providing essential services | Procure and offer vaccines when available |
HAN = Health Advisory Notice; HDC = health declaration card.
Adapted from Singapore Ministry of Health pandemic readiness and response plan.3